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The bounce is too fragile

Strategic Stance


Hope is there that policy makers are experienced enough to provide room for growth


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Markets last Month From Best to Worst
Click On the Country Link to Go to Country Monthly Page

*Not All the Countries Have Associated Country Pages
nameMonthChange
ARGENTINA19.70
BRAZIL18.05
KENYA16.70
TURKEY15.74
COLOMBIA14.80
PAKISTAN13.83
RUSSIA13.20
CHILE12.82
CANADA12.77
CHINA11.42
ISRAEL11.18
SAUDI ARABIA DOMESTIC10.75
BAHRAIN10.71
EGYPT10.63
SOUTH AFRICA10.54
PHILIPPINES10.34
BELGIUM10.13
THAILAND10.09
KOREA9.62
INDONESIA9.45
AUSTRIA9.11
MEXICO8.72
FINLAND8.40
USA8.21
NETHERLANDS7.81
PERU7.70
HONG KONG7.51
CZECH REPUBLIC7.27
ITALY7.27
UNITED KINGDOM7.17
LITHUANIA6.85
IRELAND6.81
NORWAY6.69
ZIMBABWE6.65
SWEDEN6.62
DENMARK6.35
FRANCE6.33
GERMANY6.31
SWITZERLAND6.17
GREECE6.07
ESTONIA5.80
NEW ZEALAND5.75
SPAIN5.60
HUNGARY5.55
BANGLADESH5.48
JAPAN5.37
POLAND5.33
SINGAPORE5.24
PORTUGAL5.02
KAZAKHSTAN4.14
QATAR DOMESTIC3.83
QATAR3.71
UKRAINE3.48
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES3.25
VIETNAM2.88
FM AFRICA2.47
KUWAIT2.11
TAIWAN1.66
SRI LANKA1.54
MAURITIUS1.40
MALAYSIA1.33
JORDAN1.30
MOROCCO0.99
SLOVENIA0.44
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA0.28
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO0.27
CROATIA0.00
BULGARIA-1.24
TUNISIA-1.36
INDIA-1.61
OMAN-2.69
LEBANON-3.93
NIGERIA-4.95
JAMAICA-6.38
BOTSWANA-8.72
ROMANIA-8.85
SERBIA-17.77

Markets YTD From Best to Worst
Click On the Country Link to Go to Country Monthly Page

nameYTD Change
ARGENTINA19.70
BRAZIL18.05
KENYA16.70
TURKEY15.74
COLOMBIA14.80
PAKISTAN13.83
RUSSIA13.20
CHILE12.82
CANADA12.77
CHINA11.42
ISRAEL11.18
SAUDI ARABIA DOMESTIC10.75
BAHRAIN10.71
EGYPT10.63
SOUTH AFRICA10.54
PHILIPPINES10.34
BELGIUM10.13
THAILAND10.09
KOREA9.62
INDONESIA9.45
AUSTRIA9.11
MEXICO8.72
FINLAND8.40
USA8.21
NETHERLANDS7.81
PERU7.70
HONG KONG7.51
CZECH REPUBLIC7.27
ITALY7.27
UNITED KINGDOM7.17
LITHUANIA6.85
IRELAND6.81
NORWAY6.69
ZIMBABWE6.65
SWEDEN6.62
DENMARK6.35
FRANCE6.33
GERMANY6.31
SWITZERLAND6.17
GREECE6.07
ESTONIA5.80
NEW ZEALAND5.75
SPAIN5.60
HUNGARY5.55
BANGLADESH5.48
JAPAN5.37
POLAND5.33
SINGAPORE5.24
PORTUGAL5.02
KAZAKHSTAN4.14
QATAR DOMESTIC3.83
QATAR3.71
UKRAINE3.48
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES3.25
VIETNAM2.88
FM AFRICA2.47
KUWAIT2.11
TAIWAN1.66
SRI LANKA1.54
MAURITIUS1.40
MALAYSIA1.33
JORDAN1.30
MOROCCO0.99
SLOVENIA0.44
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA0.28
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO0.27
CROATIA0.00
BULGARIA-1.24
TUNISIA-1.36
INDIA-1.61
OMAN-2.69
LEBANON-3.93
NIGERIA-4.95
JAMAICA-6.38
BOTSWANA-8.72
ROMANIA-8.85
SERBIA-17.77

Best 15 Market Last 12 Months

CountryChangePct
ZIMBABWE163.42
QATAR21.56
SAUDI ARABIA DOMESTIC18.72
JAMAICA14.78
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO9.25
KUWAIT8.75
BAHRAIN2.29
TUNISIA1.88
ISRAEL0.49
BOTSWANA-51.91
ARGENTINA-42.95
GREECE-41.93
TURKEY-37.72
PAKISTAN-33.30
NIGERIA-31.59

Worst 15 Market Last 12 Months

CountryChangePct
PERU-2.46
BRAZIL-3.46
NEW ZEALAND-3.74
USA-3.99
INDONESIA-5.52
RUSSIA-5.52
THAILAND-6.89
PHILIPPINES-6.95
EGYPT-7.14
HONG KONG-7.27
FINLAND-8.37
CANADA-8.87
SWITZERLAND-9.27
KAZAKHSTAN-10.14
SLOVENIA-10.17

Country USD Yields and YTD Changes

countryYieldYieldChange
Lebanon12.421.24
Oman6.710.46
Kazakhstan7.440.21
Venezuela0.150.00
Trinidad and Tobago5.64-0.02
Thailand4.59-0.03
Singapore5.11-0.12
Korea (South)4.20-0.14
Israel5.81-0.15
United States6.74-0.22
Qatar4.36-0.22
Malaysia4.35-0.25
Luxembourg8.67-0.25
France7.70-0.25
Panama4.88-0.26
Canada6.33-0.26
Jordan7.21-0.27
Costa Rica7.60-0.27
Saudi Arabia5.73-0.28
United Arab Emirates5.09-0.29
Romania4.68-0.30
Kuwait4.29-0.32
Philippines4.06-0.33
United Kingdom6.27-0.33
Peru4.96-0.34
Egypt7.68-0.35
Vietnam4.41-0.36
Hong Kong4.80-0.36
Hungary3.99-0.37
Netherlands5.75-0.38
Poland3.37-0.41
Chile5.10-0.42
Guatemala5.29-0.42
Serbia4.05-0.44
Uruguay4.52-0.45
Morocco4.67-0.45
Macau5.75-0.45
Italy7.18-0.45
Ireland5.62-0.45
Jamaica7.98-0.46
Croatia (Hrvatska)3.88-0.47
Zambia11.86-0.47
Indonesia4.93-0.48
Dominican Republic5.85-0.51
India6.39-0.51
Australia5.84-0.51
Brazil6.32-0.57
Russian Federation5.47-0.59
Pakistan7.67-0.59
Colombia5.00-0.60
Argentina9.35-0.61
South Africa6.00-0.61
Mexico5.55-0.71
Bahrain6.18-0.76
Ecuador9.82-0.80
Ukraine9.38-0.80
Angola8.24-0.81
Ghana8.28-0.82
Cote D'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)7.32-0.83
Azerbaijan4.93-0.84
Senegal7.37-0.84
El Salvador7.45-0.86
China6.31-0.86
Nigeria7.80-0.92
Kenya8.08-1.00
Turkey7.87-1.02
Sri Lanka7.19-1.64

Fund flows YTD

FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity23451.21
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity5425.13
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity4887.26
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity4513.59
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity1848.48
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity1770.97
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity1536.75
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity1507.72
SizeMID-CAPEquity1463.11
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income1036.99
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity1034.48
countryKOREAEquity701.86
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONMixed Allocation670.79
countryBRAZILEquity658.65
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity499.72
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation451.53
countryCHINAEquity437.49
countryINDIAEquity362.62
countryBRAZILFixed Income209.27
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income132.40
RiskLONG SHORTEquity131.11
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation128.62
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation102.56
segmentBRICFixed Income87.61
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity44.04
segmentGCCMixed Allocation41.96
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income36.49
countrySPAINEquity32.34
countryINDIAFixed Income25.40
countryPOLANDEquity20.97
CountryTAIWANEquity20.86
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil18.55
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity16.80
countryJAPANFixed Income14.90
countryJAPANMixed Allocation13.17
segmentEMEAFixed Income11.09
segmentEMEAEquity7.53
segmentBRICEquity6.49
segmentMENAEquity5.30
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation3.44
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity2.81
segmentMENAFixed Income2.13
SizeMID-CAPCommodity0.59
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.52
countryISRAELEquity0.39
industryENERGY SECTORMixed Allocation0.25
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDEquity0.01
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.00
segmentGCCFixed Income-0.08
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-0.13
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation-0.38
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity-0.53
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-1.26
CountryEGYPTEquity-2.02
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income-2.22
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-4.11
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity-5.27
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income-5.46
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDAlternative-7.64
segmentGCCEquity-8.39
countryTURKEYEquity-20.88
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-23.53
countryCHINAFixed Income-37.58
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-40.90
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-41.63
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-62.72
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-69.02
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-75.33
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-84.47
countryRUSSIAEquity-89.37
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-99.86
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-145.07
countryAUSTRALIAEquity-154.41
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-167.50
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-226.08
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-271.07
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-274.55
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-282.11
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-284.12
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-294.38
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-426.73
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-650.52
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-667.54
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-1180.92
countryJAPANEquity-1751.23
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-1833.30
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income-2095.25
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-3024.06

Commodities Monthly Performance

NameUnitsLastPriceCurrencyMonthChange USDpct
Cocoa (ICE)USD/MT2346.00USD10.61
Rubber (Tokyo)JPY/kg180.00JPY10.43
Silver SpotUSD/t oz.15.69USD9.26
Palladium SpotUSD/t oz.1333.09USD9.16
Silver/British Pound SpotGBP/t oz.12.29GBP9.05
Silver (Comex)USD/t oz.15.73USD9.01
Silver/Euro SpotEUR/t oz.13.60EUR7.34
Silver (Tokyo)JPY/g54.80JPY5.38
Silver/Japanese Yen SpotJPY/t oz.1695.97JPY4.67
3Mo Tin (LME)USD/MT20065.00USD4.61
Lumber (CME)USD/1000 board feet336.30USD4.51
Gold SpotUSD/t oz.1291.54USD4.48
Gold/British Pound SpotGBP/t oz.1011.88GBP4.32
Platinum SpotUSD/t oz.824.13USD4.17
Gold (Comex)USD/t oz.1292.80USD4.12
Gold/Indian Rupee SpotINR/t oz.90946.38INR3.71
ECX Emissions (ICE)EUR/MT22.12USD3.03
Soybean Meal (CBOT)USD/T.322.80USD3.00
Live Cattle (CME)USd/lb.1.258USD2.79
Gold/Euro SpotEUR/t oz.1119.79EUR2.69
Brent Crude (ICE)USD/bbl.61.31USD2.06
Heating Oil (Nymex)USd/gal.1.8846USD1.75
RBOB Gasoline (Nymex)USd/gal.1.4311USD1.73
Ethanol (CBOT)USD/gal.1.28USD1.59
Soybean (CBOT)USd/bu.9.22USD1.57
Sugar #11 (ICE)USd/lb.0.1275USD1.43
WTI Crude Oil (Nymex)USD/bbl.52.13USD1.28
Oats (CBOT)USd/bu.2.8625USD0.88
Wheat (CBOT)USd/bu.5.1825USD0.63
Gold (Tokyo)JPY/g4481.00JPY0.18
Gold/Japanese Yen SpotJPY/t oz.139689.25JPY0.17
Canola (ICE)CAD/MT484.10CAD0.06
NickelUSD/MT11015USD0.00
Soybean Oil (CBOT)USd/lb.0.2857USD-0.28
Corn (CBOT)USd/bu.3.8175USD-0.33
Feeder Cattle (CME)USd/lb.1.449USD-0.40
Rough Rice (CBOT)USD/cwt10.79USD-0.46
Coffee 'C' (ICE)USd/lb.1.0454999999999999USD-1.27
Copper (Comex)USd/lb.2.645USD-2.67
3Mo Copper (LME)USD/MT5958.00USD-3.51
SteelUSD/MT450USD-4.36
3Mo Zinc (LME)USD/MT2492.00USD-4.81
Lean Hogs (CME)USd/lb.0.6378USD-5.86
3Mo Aluminum (LME)USD/MT1852.50USD-5.92
Cocking CoalCNY/MT1423CNY-6.38
Cotton #2 (ICE)USd/lb.0.7277USD-9.22
Orange Juice (ICE)USd/lb.1.251USD-13.06
Gasoil (Nymex)USD/MT568.75USD-17.84
Kerosene (Tokyo)JPY/kl55150.00JPY-21.58
Crude Oil (Tokyo)JPY/kl40120.00JPY-23.13
Natural Gas (Nymex)USD/MMBtu3.07USD-29.91

Commodities YTD Performance

NameUnitsLastPriceCurrencyYTDChange USDpct
Brent Crude (ICE)USD/bbl.61.31USD22.08
WTI Crude Oil (Nymex)USD/bbl.52.13USD22.06
Crude Oil (Tokyo)JPY/kl40120.00JPY18.59
Gasoil (Nymex)USD/MT568.75USD16.79
RBOB Gasoline (Nymex)USd/gal.1.4311USD14.53
Heating Oil (Nymex)USd/gal.1.8846USD13.85
Kerosene (Tokyo)JPY/kl55150.00JPY10.85
Rubber (Tokyo)JPY/kg180.00JPY7.21
Palladium SpotUSD/t oz.1333.09USD6.23
Lean Hogs (CME)USd/lb.0.6378USD5.77
Silver SpotUSD/t oz.15.69USD5.66
Silver (Comex)USD/t oz.15.73USD5.43
Silver/British Pound SpotGBP/t oz.12.29GBP5.13
Silver/Euro SpotEUR/t oz.13.60EUR5.02
Silver (Tokyo)JPY/g54.80JPY4.58
Platinum SpotUSD/t oz.824.13USD3.86
Oats (CBOT)USd/bu.2.8625USD3.81
3Mo Tin (LME)USD/MT20065.00USD3.56
Soybean Meal (CBOT)USD/T.322.80USD3.53
Silver/Japanese Yen SpotJPY/t oz.1695.97JPY3.35
Sugar #11 (ICE)USd/lb.0.1275USD2.82
Soybean (CBOT)USd/bu.9.22USD2.79
Rough Rice (CBOT)USD/cwt10.79USD2.76
Live Cattle (CME)USd/lb.1.258USD2.46
Coffee 'C' (ICE)USd/lb.1.0454999999999999USD2.30
Gold/Indian Rupee SpotINR/t oz.90946.38INR2.07
Soybean Oil (CBOT)USd/lb.0.2857USD1.93
Cocking CoalCNY/MT1423CNY1.57
Gold SpotUSD/t oz.1291.54USD1.43
Cocoa (ICE)USD/MT2346.00USD1.34
Gold (Comex)USD/t oz.1292.80USD1.32
Corn (CBOT)USd/bu.3.8175USD1.06
Gold/British Pound SpotGBP/t oz.1011.88GBP0.95
Ethanol (CBOT)USD/gal.1.28USD0.79
3Mo Zinc (LME)USD/MT2492.00USD0.73
Wheat (CBOT)USd/bu.5.1825USD0.34
Cotton #2 (ICE)USd/lb.0.7277USD0.30
Gold/Euro SpotEUR/t oz.1119.79EUR0.29
Canola (ICE)CAD/MT484.10CAD0.12
3Mo Copper (LME)USD/MT5958.00USD0.04
NickelUSD/MT11015USD0.00
Copper (Comex)USd/lb.2.645USD-0.34
Feeder Cattle (CME)USd/lb.1.449USD-0.45
Lumber (CME)USD/1000 board feet336.30USD-0.62
Gold (Tokyo)JPY/g4481.00JPY-0.69
Gold/Japanese Yen SpotJPY/t oz.139689.25JPY-0.71
3Mo Aluminum (LME)USD/MT1852.50USD-2.14
Orange Juice (ICE)USd/lb.1.251USD-2.23
SteelUSD/MT450USD-3.23
ECX Emissions (ICE)EUR/MT22.12USD-12.15
Natural Gas (Nymex)USD/MMBtu3.07USD-13.76
?>

Strategy

Don’t Hope The Rally will Last - A notable disconnect in current US macro – budget revenues are flattish and the fiscal backdrop is very relaxed, while US government gross debt is on rise..
US dollar as a result should not be too strong while US rates should also be within limits..
This set of inputs is positive for higher asset prices – but the disconnect places the US financial system into less stable equilibrium and leads to higher uncertainty for US financial stability. While still to our village folks nationalism and patriotism is like gravity force while globalization is like cosmism. There are few reasons to be constructive on more recent economic nationalism trades i.e. on China, Turkey, Russia, UK and the US. They are the countries which are most visible beneficiaries ofrise in economic nationalism, interventionalism and protectionism
Few Examples of Economic Nationalism Trades - Turkey Lira devaluation provides room for exporters
Russia current account – quite supported by economic nationalism
China current account deteriorated after years of benefitting from economic nationalism.. But will be addressed by policy makers
Negative US current account will likely be addressed y policy makers
As for globalisation trends the trades most visibly benefit in our view are Africab countries specifically and frontier markets in general
Venezuela a more recent highlight in globalisation trade
Uzbekistan is as well while slightly more stable
Silk roads beneficiaries and countries benefitting Kazakhstan, Belarus and Eastern European counties and possibly Austria Re-farming trends yield some trades as well . Organicism is a path for better territorial development
Development of technology and information makes smaller towns and villages just as competitive as bigger rivals –
Sell municipal debt of larger industrial cities . Detroit was a good previous example.. Look further …
Policy mistakes are expensive – scrap your dividend yield and look for investment into unregulated, minorities owned, completely free enterprises While it is more and more obvious that the money is the message - Immortalise your message with blockchain record.. Hodl your basket of crypto currencies and security tokens
And keep in mind that Dr. Copper Sais Emerging Markets Rally Is could be just too fragile .

Chart: February 2019 Strategy

Don’t Hope The Rally will Last
Economic Nationalism Trades
Economic Nationalism Trades
Globalisation
Re-farming
Policy mistakes are expensive
Money is the message
Dr. Copper Sais Emerging Markets Rally Is could be just too fragile
Even worst equity markets class (Frontier Markets) delivered 5% return in January
Dynamics in Bond Markets is quite supportive of risk appetite improvement argument
Specialist sector funds see outflows
Commodities best and worst

Source: ML

Download file in Power Point
  • Jones Day Holds an Edge as Firms Double Down on Brand Strategy
  • New manufacturing strategy
  • Relative Strength Investing Trends: February 2019
  • France set to get first national strategy for research
  • Why Your Bold 2019 Strategy Is DOA By February, And How To Fix It
  • Significant hires
  • Lions intrigue season-ticket holders at summit with talk of draft, 2019 ...

    Key Topics and News

    Don’t Hope The Rally will Last
    Reasons to be constructive on Economic Nationalism Trades
    Few Examples of Economic Nationalism Trades
    Globalisation Trades
    Re-farming Trades
    Policy mistakes are expensive
    Money is the message
    But Dr. Copper Sais Emerging Markets Rally Is could be just too fragile
    Even worst equity markets class (Frontier Markets) delivered 5% return in January
    Dynamics in Bond Markets is quite supportive of risk appetite improvement argument
    Specialist sector funds see outflows
    Commodities best and worst

    Recent Strategy Chart Art

    February 2019 Strategy

    Download file in Power Point
    Don’t Hope The Rally will Last

    Download file in Power Point
    Reasons to be constructive on Economic Nationalism Trades

    Download file in Power Point
    Few Examples of Economic Nationalism Trades

    Download file in Power Point
    Globalisation Trades

    Download file in Power Point
    Re-farming Trades

    Download file in Power Point
    Policy mistakes are expensive

    Download file in Power Point
    Money is the message

    Download file in Power Point
    But Dr. Copper Sais Emerging Markets Rally Is could be just too fragile

    Download file in Power Point
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    Average Sovereign GEM Yields (USD)

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    Average Sov. Dev. Markets Yields (blended currency)

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    Average UST Yield

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    Average Sovereign Local Currency Yields (USD)

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    Choose A Country

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    BRAZIL: Brazil's New Government Is Promising Wall Street The Moon


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    CHILE: RPT-EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX, stocks drop as all eyes on ...


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    COLOMBIA: Colombia shares lower at close of trade; COLCAP down 0.26%


    CZECH: Czech Republic - Factors To Watch on Feb 5


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    FRANCE: France shares higher at close of trade; CAC 40 up 1.06%


    GERMANY: Germany shares higher at close of trade; DAX up 0.99%


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    ISRAEL: Israel shares higher at close of trade; TA 35 up 0.36%


    ITALY: Eurozone equities falter as Italy enters recession


    JAPAN: Why it is time to 'strike gold' in Japanese equities


    KAZAKHSTAN: BofA appoints new head of equities in global markets South Africa unit


    LEBANON: Most Mideast Gauges Drop as 2018 Earnings Pressure: Inside EM


    MALAYSIA: RM1 bil in foreign funds flowed into Malaysian equity market in ...


    MEXICO: Are Cagey Traders Interested in Shares of Mexico Equity & Income ...


    NETHERLANDS: Netherlands shares higher at close of trade; AEX up 0.78%


    NEW ZEALAND: Synlait Milk leads NZ shares higher


    NIGERIA: Undervalued Nigerian stocks seen poised for post-election rally


    NORWAY: Norway shares lower at close of trade; Oslo OBX down 0.70%


    OMAN: Bank Muscat PEAM division marks milestone


    PAKISTAN: Any agreement on Afghan crisis to address Pakistan's equities: US


    PERU: RPT-EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX, stocks drop as all eyes on ...


    PHILIPPINES: Philippine stocks seen getting a lift if trade war worsens


    POLAND: Poland shares higher at close of trade; WIG30 up 0.25%


    PORTUGAL: Equity News: Checking in on Shares of Energias de Portugal ...


    QATAR: Qatar shares extend losing streak on foreign institutions


    QATAR: Qatar shares extend losing streak on foreign institutions


    ROMANIA: Stocks, currencies ease on growth worries


    RUSSIA: EMERGING MARKETS-Emerging stocks, FX rise on hopes of ...


    SINGAPORE: The incredible shrinking Singapore stock market


    SOUTH AFRICA: BofA appoints new head of equities in global markets South Africa unit


    SOUTH KOREA: Get Defensive in South Korea With These 5 Stocks


    SPAIN: Mirabaud Securities bolsters team in Spain with new analyst


    SWEDEN: Sweden's AP2 records -1.3% return in second half of 2018


    SWITZERLAND: Equities drag Switzerland's Publica to 3.2% loss in 2018


    TAIWAN: Asian stocks rise after listless Wall Street day


    THAILAND: SE Asia Stocks-Thailand leads declines as most trade flat to lower


    TURKEY: EMERGING MARKETS-Emerging stocks, FX rise on hopes of ...


    UAE: Nasdaq Dubai starts futures trading on MSCI's Index of UAE stocks ...


    UKRAINE: Ukraine to issue debt under World Bank guarantee by end-February


    UNITED STATES: Spotlight: Wall Street zeroes in on China-US trade talk prospects


    VIETNAM: SE Asia Stocks-Trade in tight range, investors focus on Sino-US talks


    Comment

    Monthly performance is between 2019-02-01 and 2019-01-01

    Best global markets YTD EM LATIN AMERICA +14.99%, EM (EMERGING MARKETS) +8.71%, USA +8.21%,

    While worst global markets YTD FM (FRONTIER MARKETS) 4.90%, EUROPE 6.73%, EFM ASIA 7.41%,

    Best global markets last month EM LATIN AMERICA +14.99%, EM (EMERGING MARKETS) +8.71%, USA +8.21%,

    While worst global markets last month FM (FRONTIER MARKETS) 4.90%, EUROPE 6.73%, EFM ASIA 7.41%,
  • Stocks close mostly higher as new round of US-China trade talks ...
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  • Emerging-market stocks are the 'most crowded trade' for first time on ...
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  • Hedge Funds Unsure Where Oil Prices Are Going
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  • Sector headwind to continue for Tata Steel
  • Tata Steel: Soft steel prices slam earnings outlook in near term
  • Gold Prices Fall For Second Straight Session: 5 Things To Know
  • Gold Price Slightly Higher as Possible Deal Reached to Avoid ...

    Best last month among various countries' equity markets were ARGENTINA +19.70%, BRAZIL +18.05%, KENYA +16.70%, TURKEY +15.74%, COLOMBIA +14.80%, PAKISTAN +13.83%, RUSSIA +13.20%, CHILE +12.82%, CANADA +12.77%, CHINA +11.42%,

    While worst last month among various countries' equity markets were SERBIA -17.77%, ROMANIA -8.85%, BOTSWANA -8.72%, JAMAICA -6.38%, NIGERIA -4.95%, LEBANON -3.93%, OMAN -2.69%, INDIA -1.61%, TUNISIA -1.36%, BULGARIA -1.24%,

    Best YTD among various country equities were ARGENTINA +19.70%, BRAZIL +18.05%, PAKISTAN +17.05%, KENYA +16.70%, TURKEY +15.74%, COLOMBIA +14.80%, RUSSIA +13.20%, CHILE +12.82%, CANADA +12.77%, ISRAEL +11.97%,

    While worst YTD among various country equities were SERBIA -17.77%, ROMANIA -8.85%, BOTSWANA -8.72%, JAMAICA -6.38%, NIGERIA -4.95%, LEBANON -3.93%, OMAN -2.69%, TUNISIA -1.36%, INDIA -1.33%, BULGARIA -1.24%,
    Chose Your Country



    News

    Best 10 Markets Last Month


    ARGENTINA 19.70%

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  • IMF says Argentina debt to peak at 65 pct of GDP in 2018

    BRAZIL 18.05%

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  • Brazilian judge's surprise ruling may free ex-president Lula
  • Netanyahu to visit Rio, Brasilia in unprecedented trip to Brazil
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  • Mattos Filho and Machado Meyer lead Brazil's debt markets table

    KENYA 16.70%

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  • Kenya's former prime minister and African Union special envoy ...
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  • Businessman Jimmy Wanjigi pushes for Population Growth
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    TURKEY 15.74%

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  • Recession in Turkey May Spell the End for Erdogan
  • Utah among four states to surpass Florida's 2.5M population growth ...
  • Turkish business world bullish on 2019
  • Turkey's budget records $1.4 bln surplus in November
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    COLOMBIA 14.80%

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  • Colombia president, students reach accord after protests
  • Spanish language course for public servants
  • Colombia's Congress approves diluted tax bill
  • Colombia's Congress Approves Diluted Tax Bill
  • Integrating Venezuelans into the Colombian labor market
  • Colombia: South America's Under the Radar Emerging Global Market?
  • Colombia proposes spending cuts to make up budget shortfall
  • Colombia looks to revise debt composition amid transitional year

    PAKISTAN 13.83%

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  • President creates history for arts in Pakistan
  • Pakistan: Imran Khan's 100 Days
  • Pakistan's economic growth likely to hit nine-year low in FY19
  • China's 'Belt and Road' Plan in Pakistan Takes a Military Turn
  • Impact of population growth
  • Rupee devaluation fails to spur growth in exports, touch $9.120 ...
  • Pakistan budget deficit widens to 6.6% in 2017-18
  • IMF to check Pakistan's debt sustainability before giving loan

    RUSSIA 13.20%

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  • Not even Trump supporters believe the president on Russia anymore
  • Deputy Prime Minister of Russia Vitaly Mutko steps down as head of ...
  • Russian economy minister says GDP growth to slow in Nov-Dec: Ifax
  • Singapore: Singapore Becomes An IP Hub For Innovative Russian ...
  • Buchanan: Can US fight two cold wars at once?
  • Russia-Austria trade soars almost 60 percent, approaching pre ...
  • Belarus-Russia energy dispute snowballs
  • Russia's debt under Oschadbank claim for compensation of losses ...

    CHILE 12.82%

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  • PM meeting with President Piñera of Chile: 1 December 2018
  • Bolivia landlocked: how lack of ports hinders economic growth
  • Teck Deal Highlights Chile's Solid Investment Outlook
  • Chile's billionaire president urged to deliver economic recovery in ...
  • Gas in spotlight as Argentina eyes future volumes
  • Budget Restraints That Work: Lessons from Chile, Switzerland, the ...
  • Neruda nephew: Chile debt blocks tests on poet's remains

    CANADA 12.77%

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  • Canada says China holds 3rd citizen, sees no link to first 2
  • Prime Minister Trudeau addresses why he would consider letting ...
  • Canadian economy's growth to slow to 1.9% next year
  • Canada's growth weakens as investment drops, consumers fade
  • Housing Shortage, Immigrants' Struggles Are Signs Canada Is ...
  • Canadian dollar lags most other G10 currencies as stocks retreat
  • Nova Scotia's estimated budget surplus down as income tax ...
  • Canada's debt growing to attract more corporate investment

    CHINA 11.42%

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  • China's Xi is delivering a speech that could have major ...
  • Trudeau says third Canadian detained in China but denies Huawei ...
  • World Bank expects China's economic growth to slow to 6.2 per cent ...
  • China loosens foreign investment rules for EVs and hybrids
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  • No property mortgage in China deals: Diokno
  • Kenya risks losing KPA over China debt

    Worst 10 Market Last Month


    SERBIA -17.77%

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  • Thousands protest against Serbian President Vucic
  • Serbian Prime Minister admits EU membership by 2025 may prove ...
  • Siemens to double number of its workers in Serbia in next five years
  • Azerbaijan, Serbia see 33pct growth in trade [PHOTO]
  • How should cities plan for migration? Alumna co-authors in-depth ...
  • Kosovo's Tough-Guy Tactics Won't Get it Far
  • Serbia's 9-mo budget surplus declines
  • Serbian PM Ana Brnabic to visit Prague

    ROMANIA -8.85%

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  • Romanian President Iohannis plans to attend each Government ...
  • Romania's government set to face a confidence vote on Thursday
  • Romania's Government builds 2019 budget on 5.5% GDP growth ...
  • Investors' association questions sustainability of Romania's pension ...
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  • Romanian budget gap reaches a seven-year high
  • Moody's: Romanian growth is unsustainable

    BOTSWANA -8.72%

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  • Botswana Railways courts investors for P15 billion mega rail projects
  • Botswana Railways courts investors for P15 billion mega rail projects
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    JAMAICA -6.38%

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  • Jamaica to host investment forum
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    NIGERIA -4.95%

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  • Nigeria's president presents 8.83 trillion naira budget for 2019
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  • Senate identifies maritime potentials for GDP growth
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  • Nigeria population to increase by 68m with current fertility rate ...
  • Nigerian Economic Growth Revised Upwards for 2019
  • Low oil price threatens Nigeria budget, revenue
  • Nigeria's debt profile now at $73.21 billion

    LEBANON -3.93%

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    OMAN -2.69%

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  • Oman's foreign minister visits Washington to seek greater role in ...
  • Oman's foreign minister in US to seek role in Mideast peace process ...
  • Ominvest inaugurates its landmark Ominvest Business Centre project
  • Ominvest inaugurates its landmark Ominvest Business Centre project
  • Al Mazaya Holding organises open day
  • Growing trade with Qatar boosts Oman's non-oil exports
  • Oman's budget deficit falls 36.1 per cent
  • Fitch downgrades Oman debt to junk status

    INDIA -1.61%

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  • President's Rule imposed in Jammu and Kashmir after 22 years
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  • Rs 30000 crore Air India debt to be transferred to new company

    TUNISIA -1.36%

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  • Tunisia expects 3.1-pct economy growth in 2019
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    BULGARIA -1.24%

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  • Bulgarian economic growth boosts iGaming market
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  • Over 700000 People Work in Sofia
  • BULGARIAN EXPORTS TO CANADA GROW 15% UNDER CETA
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    Top 10 Longs Based on Momentum

    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    SBSP3COMPANHIA DE SANEAMENTO BASICO DEBrazilUtilities73.70
    ELET3CENTRAIS ELETR BRAS-ELETROBRASBrazilUtilities73.32
    ELET6CENTRAIS ELETR BRAS-ELETROBRAS SERBrazilUtilities62.46
    AMSANGLO AMERICAN PLATINUM LTDSouth AfricaMaterials56.60
    7733OLYMPUS CORPJapanHealth Care52.28
    IFICINTERNATIONAL FINANCE INVESTMENT &BangladeshFinancials50.05
    KIOKUMBA IRON ORE LTDSouth AfricaMaterials49.43
    BTOW3B2W COMPANHIA DIGITALBrazilConsumer Discretionary47.75
    ANGANGLOGOLD ASHANTI LTDSouth AfricaMaterials46.83
    WEEDCANOPY GROWTH CORPCanadaHealth Care46.60

    Top 10 Shorts Based on Momentum

    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    0102583DAFRILAND PROPERTIES PLCNigeriaReal Estate-98.99
    0102583DAFRILAND PROPERTIES PLCNigeriaReal Estate-96.28
    2768JIAYUAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTDChinaReal Estate-73.25
    600518KANGMEI PHARMACEUTICAL LTD AChinaHealth Care-40.41
    607FULLSHARE HOLDINGS LTDChinaIndustrials-39.63
    TLVBANCA TRANSILVAN SARomaniaFinancials-34.80
    HCMHUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH ADR REPREChinaHealth Care-34.15
    CAGCONAGRA BRANDS INCUnited StatesConsumer Staples-33.09
    2371TATUNGTaiwanConsumer Discretionary-32.65
    ASHOKLEYASHOK LEYLAND LTDIndiaIndustrials-30.61

    Z-rankings Methodology - Top Global Long Picks

    TickerCompanySectorPE RATIO
    2016
    PE RATIO
    2017
    PE RATIO
    2018
    EV/EBITDA
    2016
    EV/EBITDA
    2017
    EV/EBITDA
    2018
    P/S
    2016
    P/S
    2017
    P/S
    2018
    P/B
    2016
    P/B
    2017
    P/B
    2018
    DIVIDEND YIELD
    2016
    DIVIDEND YIELD
    2017
    DIVIDEND YIELD
    2018
    GROSS MARGIN
    2016
    GROSS MARGIN
    2017
    GROSS MARGIN
    2018
    ROA
    2016
    ROA
    2017
    GCHE RM zranksCherkizovo Group PJSCConsumer Staples8.07.00.06.04.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.06.03.00.026.00.00.05.05.0
    034730 KS zranksSK Holdings Co LtdIndustrials9.010.09.05.06.05.00.00.00.01.01.01.01.01.01.011.011.011.01.02.0
    LB US zranksL Brands IncConsumer Discretionary14.011.010.07.06.06.01.00.00.00.00.00.05.06.06.039.039.039.012.010.0
    CCK US zranksCrown Holdings IncMaterials13.011.010.09.08.08.00.00.00.012.05.04.00.00.00.017.020.020.03.05.0
    MOLD LI zranksMOL Hungarian Oil & Gas PLCEnergy0.08.07.04.05.04.00.00.00.00.01.01.00.03.03.00.00.00.07.05.0
    EA US zranksElectronic Arts IncInformation Technology28.028.024.017.018.015.04.07.06.06.08.06.00.00.00.073.075.076.013.022.0
    015760 KS zranksKorea Electric Power CorpUtilities18.010.06.05.05.04.00.00.00.00.00.00.02.02.03.012.012.014.00.01.0
    CLX US zranksClorox Co/TheConsumer Staples24.020.019.014.013.012.03.02.02.031.024.023.02.02.03.044.044.044.015.016.0
    CLB US zranksCore Laboratories NVEnergy55.042.033.036.030.024.08.06.06.033.028.021.02.01.01.028.030.032.014.019.0
    VRSK US zranksVerisk Analytics IncIndustrials34.026.024.018.017.016.06.07.06.08.07.06.00.00.00.063.063.063.010.010.0

    Z-rankings Methodology Top Short Picks

    TickerCompanySectorPE RATIO
    2016
    PE RATIO
    2017
    PE RATIO
    2018
    EV/EBITDA
    2016
    EV/EBITDA
    2017
    EV/EBITDA
    2018
    P/S
    2016
    P/S
    2017
    P/S
    2018
    P/B
    2016
    P/B
    2017
    P/B
    2018
    DIVIDEND YIELD
    2016
    DIVIDEND YIELD
    2017
    DIVIDEND YIELD
    2018
    GROSS MARGIN
    2016
    GROSS MARGIN
    2017
    GROSS MARGIN
    2018
    ROA
    2016
    ROA
    2017
    SBAC US zranksSBA Communications CorpReal Estate144.0180.096.025.021.019.07.010.09.00.00.00.00.00.00.074.073.075.01.02.0
    NHM SJ zranksNortham Platinum LtdMaterials0.00.0207.012.013.09.02.02.01.01.01.01.00.00.00.00.010.015.0-3.00.0
    TSLA US zranksTesla IncConsumer Discretionary0.00.0133.015,521.044.017.04.02.01.012.010.09.00.00.00.018.018.022.0-7.0-3.0
    OIBR4 BZ zranksOi SATelecommunication Services0.00.00.00.07.06.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-3.0
    WIN US zranksWindstream Holdings IncTelecommunication Services0.00.00.00.08.08.00.00.00.00.00.00.016.00.00.047.048.049.0-18.0-3.0
    UDR US zranksUDR IncReal Estate117.0170.0134.024.021.020.010.09.08.03.01.04.03.03.03.00.00.00.01.00.0
    MAC US zranksMacerich Co/TheReal Estate80.081.064.025.014.014.09.08.07.02.02.02.04.05.05.00.067.066.01.01.0
    ENI IM zranksEni SpAEnergy14.016.015.03.04.03.01.00.00.01.01.01.05.05.05.00.00.00.02.04.0
    1898 HK zranksChina Coal Energy Co LtdEnergy16.07.08.09.08.08.00.00.00.00.00.00.01.03.03.030.021.021.00.01.0
    INCY US zranksIncyte CorpHealth Care0.086.058.00.0124.052.017.08.07.012.010.07.00.00.00.094.094.094.0-15.0-2.0

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