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May 26, 2017

Best 15 Markets Yesterday

CountryChangePct
EGYPT2.83
BOTSWANA2.49
KAZAKHSTAN2.11
POLAND2.09
GREECE2.05
KOREA2.01
ARGENTINA1.71
KENYA1.66
INDIA1.47
CHINA1.18
TAIWAN1.11
NIGERIA1.07
ROMANIA1.02
HUNGARY0.97
BULGARIA0.91

Worst 15 Markets Yesterday

CountryChangePct
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO-1.48
BRAZIL-0.92
TURKEY-0.79
VIETNAM-0.79
PERU-0.66
PAKISTAN-0.58
IRELAND-0.49
SRI LANKA-0.38
SAUDI ARABIA DOMESTIC-0.31
COLOMBIA-0.30
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES-0.28
JAMAICA-0.19
SERBIA-0.15
KUWAIT-0.13
ITALY-0.11

Best 10 Markets YTD

CountryChangePct
ARGENTINA44.41
POLAND35.77
AUSTRIA32.33
JAMAICA29.23
KOREA28.11
ROMANIA28.06
SPAIN25.16
KAZAKHSTAN24.67
TURKEY23.88
CHINA22.66

Worst 10 Markets YTD

CountryChangePct
OMAN-12.72
RUSSIA-7.44
LEBANON-7.37
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO-5.00
TUNISIA-4.10
SAUDI ARABIA DOMESTIC-3.56
QATAR-1.96
QATAR DOMESTIC-1.72
JORDAN-1.33
MOROCCO-0.62

Best 10 Markets Last 12 months

CountryChangePct
JAMAICA52.45
BULGARIA50.86
AUSTRIA49.28
ZIMBABWE45.70
KOREA38.26
KAZAKHSTAN36.23
ARGENTINA35.04
POLAND34.82
BRAZIL34.45
PAKISTAN33.65

Worst 10 Markets Last 12 months

CountryChangePct
NIGERIA-30.30
TUNISIA-20.68
GHANA-15.51
BOTSWANA-13.96
OMAN-12.56
ISRAEL-10.08
EGYPT-9.83
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA-9.08
SLOVENIA-6.81
ESTONIA-3.74

Country USD Yields and Week Changes

CountryAverage YieldYield Average WkChange % pts
Azerbaijan5.250.45
Brazil5.100.32
Lebanon6.270.22
Ukraine7.810.16
Oman4.800.16
Serbia3.590.15
Iraq7.950.14
Tunisia6.240.14
Trinidad and Tobago4.910.14
Egypt6.100.11
Argentina6.410.11
Bolivia5.060.10
Gabon6.660.10
Angola8.740.10
Croatia (Hrvatska)3.650.08
Cote D'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)6.400.07
Mongolia5.980.06
South Africa4.970.06
Pakistan5.110.06
Ecuador8.710.05
Dominican Republic5.340.04
Jamaica5.850.04
Ethiopia6.620.04
Turkey5.110.04
Nigeria6.920.03
El Salvador8.520.03
Ghana8.180.03
Sri Lanka5.310.02
Jordan5.890.02
United States1.010.02
Zambia7.740.01
Costa Rica6.190.01
Kazakhstan4.590.01
Paraguay5.540.01
Russian Federation3.930.00
Romania3.60-0.01
Panama3.52-0.01
Lithuania2.47-0.02
Hungary3.30-0.03
Peru3.81-0.03
Indonesia4.09-0.04
Colombia4.06-0.04
Kenya6.52-0.04
Vietnam4.26-0.04
Poland2.70-0.04
Uruguay4.27-0.05
Morocco3.36-0.05
Mexico4.45-0.05
Philippines3.25-0.06
Slovak Republic2.40-0.06
Venezuela24.86-0.09
Chile2.86-0.12
Malaysia3.34-0.13
China2.89-0.16
India3.72-0.18

Chart: Great Run in Emerging Markets this year +17% YTD, +26% 1-Year… There are no really acute drivers that are clearly on surface and its still below the levels where it was 3 years ago..

Though many point out that it is new Emerging Markets Great Run… the drivers yet has to emerge.. Otherwise it just looks like a flow trade: out of the US and into GEMs

Source: ML

Download file in Power Point


Comment

Weekly performance is between 2017-05-25 and 2017-05-19

Best global markets week to date EFM ASIA +1.95%, EM (EMERGING MARKETS) +1.90%, USA +1.42%,

While worst global markets week to date EUROPE 0.29%, FM (FRONTIER MARKETS) 1.05%, EM LATIN AMERICA 1.32%,
  • US stocks CHAOS: Investors ditch almost $9 billion of equities as ...
  • International Stock Funds Take Lead Over US Equities
  • Emerging Markets Are Not All Created Equal
  • Fund manager Q&A: Emerging markets funds
  • China stocks calm after volatility from rating downgrade; Hong Kong ...
  • Chinese stocks rise, push past 1st China credit downgrade in nearly ...
  • European Equity Benchmarks Close Mixed; U.K. Growth Revised ...
  • European stocks finish lower after Merkel says euro 'too weak'
  • Oil price falls despite deal to extend output cut
  • Unveiled: Venezuela, Syria's Secret Scheme To Bypass Oil Sanctions
  • Steel Price Forecast, April 2017: US Steel to Invest in Plants
  • US Steel Prices Fall in May, and This Might Just Be the Beginning
  • Today Gold Price: Track today gold rate latest trends and news
  • Gold Price Chart: Find all the latest gold rate chart and news

    Best since the start of the week among various stock markets were KENYA +5.89%, PAKISTAN +5.06%, ZIMBABWE +4.68%, BOTSWANA +3.93%, SOUTH AFRICA +3.56%, KOREA +3.25%, TURKEY +3.25%, NEW ZEALAND +2.49%, EGYPT +2.46%, NIGERIA +2.34%,

    While worst since the start of the week among various stock markets were TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO -2.80%, INDONESIA -1.44%, ITALY -1.43%, MOROCCO -1.42%, GREECE -1.39%, TUNISIA -1.26%, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES -1.23%, KUWAIT -1.12%, PERU -1.08%, BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA -1.07%,

    News

    Best 10 Market Since the begining of the week


    KENYA 5.89


  • Gado, the political cartoonist who satirises Kenya's president
  • Kenya expected to highlight innovation, security and growth wins at ...
  • Kenya needs 2M low-income homes for economic growth, says ...
  • Kenya reports mixed foreign investment results in 2016
  • Kenya: The Luxury Business of Bespoke Menswear
  • EAC wants Kenya exports to Europe protected
  • Henry Rotich unveils Kenya's Sh2.6 trillion Budget
  • How pension funds can help relieve Kenya's debt burden

    PAKISTAN 5.06


  • Pakistan achieves significant successes in war against terrorism ...
  • Our performance will wash away Opp's baseless allegations: PM
  • Pakistan's economy crossed the threshold of three hundred billion ...
  • PM touts Pakistan's investment prospects to Hong Kong forum
  • Pakistan's per capita income has seen growth and here's why
  • Govt announces 5.28pc GDP growth; Dar optimistic despite missed ...
  • Dar walking a tightrope for today's budget
  • Road repayments to peak at around $5 bn a year, says chief ...

    ZIMBABWE 4.68


  • Mnangagwa to be Zimbabwe President until 21 August 2018
  • 'Mugabe creating family dynasty'
  • Zimbabwe: AfDB Projects Zim GDP At 1,3pc
  • Allocations along Zim-Asset lines hailed
  • Govt appeals for $103m for HIV testing
  • Risky dependence. . . Call to diversify export market
  • Budget bash? Mugabe youths seek funding for his birthday (and it's ...
  • Zimbabwe's debt clearance strategy questioned

    BOTSWANA 3.93


  • Botswana to host the second Giants Club Summit
  • ISS Today: African leaders take the blame for the continent's ...
  • IMF bullish on Botswana growth prospects
  • Botswana: Investment Opportunity Available - Seretse
  • South Africa: the "wait-and-see" economy
  • SA's downgrade effects to spillover into Botswana
  • Botswana's budget deficit to widen to 1.4 pct of GDP in 2017/18
  • Shrenuj Nears Debt Deal to Ease Liquidity Crisis

    SOUTH AFRICA 3.56


  • World briefs: ANC leaders seeking ouster of South African President
  • DPM Teo Chee Hean to visit Ethiopia and South Africa
  • South Africa: the "wait-and-see" economy
  • 'Nuclear can't work in current growth environment'
  • South Africa: the "wait-and-see" economy
  • The guardians of South Africa's export fruit quality
  • South Africa: Budget Vote Debate 5 - Home Affairs
  • Fitch "very concerned" situation in South Africa not improving -union
    Econ events
    momenteventForecastConsensus
    2017-05-25Prime Overdraft Rate10.50%
    2017-05-25Interest Rate Decision7%
    2017-05-25PPI YoY APR5.10%
    2017-05-25PPI MoM APR

    Companies Reported Yesterday Include:
    CompanyCountrySectorReported
    Tiger Brands LtdSOUTH AFRICAConsumer Staples5/25/2017
    Foschini Group Ltd/TheSOUTH AFRICAConsumer Discretionary5/25/2017

    KOREA 3.25


  • Former South Korean president Park Geun-hye on trial for corruption
  • South Korean prime minister pick seen as point man on Japan
  • S Korea's zombie companies threaten 'economic powder keg'
  • Korea Investment Has Lowered By $1.82 Million Its E Trade ...
  • Africa's Population Boom - Burden or Opportunity?
  • S. Korea's exports growth to accelerate: trade minister
  • S.Korea's budget carrier Jin Air to list by year-end amid increase in ...
  • North Korea owes Finland millions in decades-old debt
    Econ events
    momenteventForecastConsensus
    2017-05-25Interest Rate Decision1.25%
    2017-05-26Consumer Confidence MAY100.6

    TURKEY 3.25


  • Did the Turkish President's Security Detail Attack Protesters in ...
  • Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim Seeks Security Promises From ...
  • Can Turkey disprove IMF's dismal economic growth forecast?
  • After progress in employment drive, eyes on 'Made in Turkey' car
  • Wild turkey population expanding to Arrowhead
  • Chile is one of the main fruit suppliers in Turkey
  • Can A Stronger Erdogan Reverse Turkey's Mounting Economic ...
  • Turkey debt stock reaches $223.4 billion in April

    NEW ZEALAND 2.49


  • Donald Trump shoves Nato leader Montenegro Prime Minister ...
  • New Zealand's Prime Minister to discuss extra stadium security for ...
  • Budget 2017: Economic growth seen peaking at 3.8pc in 2019
  • Property Council scores Budget 7/10
  • New Zealand Population Surges Most Since World Turmoil of 1974
  • NZ needs to add more value to its red meat exports to China, bank ...
  • New Zealand budget posts second straight surplus, spends up on ...
  • NZ: Kiwi fiscal books shine again – TDS

    EGYPT 2.46


  • Donald Trump praises Egypt President al-Sisi and plans trip to Cairo
  • Prime minister opens “Ahlan Ramadan” fair, 200 companies ...
  • Government targets 4.6% economic growth in coming fiscal year ...
  • Egypt- Investment funds lose 3.3% of their assets during first quarter
  • Egypt's population to reach 119 million by 2030: report
  • Growth rate of Egypt's exports reaches 7.4% in 2016
  • Egypt's 8-month budget deficit drops to 7% of GDP as revenues ...
  • Egypt Saw Uptick in Foreign Demand for Debt After Rate Rise

    NIGERIA 2.34


  • Nigeria's Vice-President Tells Civil Servants to 'Stop Praying and ...
  • Greek ex-prime minister Papademos escapes death
  • Kano is catalyst for Nigeria's economic growth – Minister
  • Nigeria: Investment in Lekki Free Trade Zone hits $15b
  • The problems of family planning in Nigeria
  • Nigeria Strategy Report Q2 2017 Outlook - Domestic Economic and ...
  • Nigeria: Budget - Osinbajo Responds to Senate Ultimatum - Directs ...
  • Nigeria's debt to top 24% of GDP by 2018 — IMF

    Worst 10 Market Since Begining of the Week


    TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO -2.80


  • No first class travel for Rowley, delegation to Chile
  • No first class travel for Rowley, delegation to Chile
  • Improving productivity across the region key to growth and ...
  • Grenada celebrate 43 years of Independence
  • Once a Caribbean Success Story, Trinidad and Tobago Faces an ...
  • Gateway City/Trend: Fastest-growing trade partners rich with surprises
  • Former Jamaica PM to speak at ICATT conference
  • BREAKING NEWS

    INDONESIA -1.44


  • President orders sweep after suicide bombings kill police in ...
  • Gay men caning in Indonesia 'barbaric': PM
  • Indonesian economic growth picks up in first quarter
  • Bleak Q1-2017 Foreign Direct Investment Growth in Indonesia
  • Growth opportunities abound for Best World beyond China
  • Indonesia's April export, import growth slower than expected
  • Indonesia Gets Investment Grade Credit Rating Status from S&P'
  • Moody's raises Indonesia debt rating outlook to 'positive'

    ITALY -1.43


  • Italy exports soared 14.5% year-on-year in March
  • President Trump Meets with Italian Leaders in Rome
  • Italy's prime minister lobbies Trump to open US to more migrants
  • Italy on the mend but strong recovery still far away
  • BRIEF-Dubai Investments Q1 profit falls
  • This is what Italy's population will look like in 50 years
  • Italy exports soared 14.5% year-on-year in March
  • Italy budget deficit widens in March, first-quarter deficit also higher
  • Italy's debt head sees good demand for net BTP Italia bond
    Econ events
    momenteventForecastConsensus
    2017-05-25Industrial Orders YoY MAR5.10%
    2017-05-25Industrial Sales MoM MAR0.70%
    2017-05-25Industrial Sales YoY MAR4.20%
    2017-05-25Industrial Orders MoM MAR-2.10%

    MOROCCO -1.42


  • King of Morocco and President of France meet for luncheon of ...
  • Algeria's Bouteflika Names Abdelmajid Tebboune New Prime Minister
  • Youth Employment Slows Morocco's Economic Growth: World Bank
  • Morocco wants to build a new city from scratch—with China's help
  • Morocco's population to reach 43.6 mln by 2050
  • Morocco exports boosted by shipping route update
  • Morocco's budget deficit falls to lowest since before protests
  • Morocco takes lead in climate change fight, but at what cost?

    GREECE -1.39


  • Former Greek prime minister injured in letter bomb blast
  • Former Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos Injured by ...
  • Why Economic Growth in Greece Is Subdued despite Bailout Help
  • Greece offers no increase in taxes to attract big investments
  • Cities urged to 'embrace new reality' of mass migration
  • Exports of medicines the second biggest category for Greece
  • Greek Jan-April central govt budget surplus beats target on lower ...
  • Greece Debt Deal on Slow Path as IMF and Germany Dig In

    TUNISIA -1.26


  • Tunisia president to participate in US-Islamic summit in Riyadh
  • Tunisian businessmen arrested in 'war on corruption'
  • Tunisia economic growth picks up in first quarter
  • Tunisia Seeks Foreign Investment to Cement Democratic Gains
  • Reinventing oneself in a fast-paced creative environment
  • UAE- Tunisa's exports down 3.3%, imports up 5.8% in Q1 2017
  • Tunisia: budget deficit exceeds 4 billion dinars at end November
  • Regional partners pledge billions in help for Tunisia

    UNITED ARAB EMIRATES -1.23


  • Egypt's president visits staunch ally United Arab Emirates
  • HR/VP Federica Mogherini's phone conversation with Libyan Prime ...
  • IMF Staff Completes 2017 Article IV Mission to the United Arab ...
  • President Sargsyan participated at the Armenia-UAE investment forum
  • United Arab Emirates country profile
  • Emirates SkyCargo is reaching into US market
  • UAE govt approves higher federal spending for 2015 - PM
  • UAE Bonds Pulling Away as Cash Reserves Beat OPEC Woes

    KUWAIT -1.12


  • Trump Trip: President Meets With Egypt, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait
  • Amir meets Italian Prime Minister
  • KFH wins 'Top Listed Institution in Kuwait 2017' award – Award ...
  • Money flowing into sovereign wealth funds declines to $7.4tn
  • Kuwait population rises to 4.33 mln
  • Beximco in milestone achievement with Kuwait exports
  • Oil Revenue Surge Seen Cutting Kuwait Deficit: Investors' Guide
  • Russia repays Soviet-era debt of $1.7 bln to Kuwait

    PERU -1.08


  • Peru President to meet Spain's Rajoy and King Felipe VI in Madrid
  • Bruno Giuffra sworn in as Peru's Transport Minister
  • Peru: economy grew 2.1 pct in first quarter, lowest rate in two years
  • Entel to focus on LTE-A, fiber in 3-year Chile, Peru investment plan
  • As toll from Peru's storms mount, capitalists see new source of profits
  • Peru exports to grow 9.6% in 2017
  • Peru lifts 2017 budget to deal with extreme flooding
  • Peru authorizes state-run oil firm to issue up to $2 billion in bonds

    BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA -1.07


  • Fifty-first report of the High Representative for Implementation of the ...
  • Federica Mogherini hosts an informal gathering with Prime Ministers ...
  • EU provides significant support for BiH's economic growth
  • Sarajevo Rises in Popularity with Middle East Property Buyers
  • YUGOSLAVIA 25 YEARS ON: Population displacement is now set in ...

    Our Recent Research Reports

  • 2017-05-24 ML Morning Meeting
  • 2017-05-23 ML Morning Meeting
  • 2017-05-22 ML Fixed Income Weekly
  • 2017-05-22 ML Weekly

    Recent Chart Art

    Great Run in Emerging Markets this year +17% YTD, +26% 1-Year… There are no really acute drivers that are clearly on surface and its still below the levels where it was 3 years ago..

    Download file in Power Point
    Moody's downgrades China rating to A1 from Aa3, with stable outlook.. Although emerging markets are still doing very well this week. The longer term implications for GEM yields could be negative as well as for overall GEM risk.

    Download file in Power Point
    Argentina – why so hot?

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    Former Austro-Hungarian Empire Countries Equities were among the leaders in the last 12 months.

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    Brazil Yields Rise, Highlighting the Political Risk

    Download file in Power Point
    Emerging Market Funds Returned to Inflow

    Download file in Power Point
    Brazil Impeachment

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    Other Global Gloom Signs besides Trump Sell off In the States Yesterday -

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    CEE Real Rates

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