Weekly Strategy

November 16, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-0.50
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-35.41
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-144.14
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-0.30
countryBRAZILEquity-39.36
countryCHINAEquity-829.45
countryINDIAEquity-32.58
countryJAPANEquity-75.47
countryKOREAEquity-3.82
countryRUSSIAEquity-6.98
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity-6.63
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-0.02
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-2.20
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-13.58
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-8.40
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-222.60
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-8.91
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-287.97
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-44.93
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-10.48
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-19.33
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-62.36
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-73.45
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-28.65
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-14.83
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-43.58
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-33.48
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-0.35
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-24.50
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-7.12
segmentBRICEquity-5.84
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-108.59
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-209.97
SizeMID-CAPEquity-112.95
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity-48.60

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Investors chose wrong side of the trade in Cons Disc, Inf.Tech and Health Care

Source: Factset, DB, ValueWalk




Emerging markets fund flow showed -108.6 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -39.4 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -829.5 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -32.6 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -3.8 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -7.0 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed -6.6 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -2.2 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -13.6 USD mn of outflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -8.4 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -288.0 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -44.9 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -10.5 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -33.5 USD mn of outflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Russia Capped ETF is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity East Capital - Russian Fund is an open-end0.00
Equity Source RDX UCITS ETF is a UCITS compliant-0.02
Equity HSBC MSCI Russia Capped UCITS ETF $ is a-0.05
Equity HSBC MSCI Russia Capped UCITS ETF $ is a-0.05

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-1.75
Equity East Capital Lux - Russian Fund is an open-end-0.57
Equity Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfonden is an open-end-0.53
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-0.51
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-0.51

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity LYXOR UCITS ETF CHINA ENTERPRISE HSCEI-C-USD0.00
Equity GAM Star plc - China Equity is a UCITS certified0.00
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China TrackerĀ® is an index-tracking-0.44
Equity Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China-0.47
Equity LYXOR UCITS ETF CHINA ENTERPRISE HSCEI --0.55

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-99.99
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --6.16
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-3.97
Equity First State Global Umbrella PLC - China-3.87
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded-3.07

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS compliant0.00
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS0.00
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top40-0.01
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange-0.01

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-6.33
Equity HSBC MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an exchange-traded-0.26
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.03
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top40-0.01
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange-0.01

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged0.00
Equity iShares MSCI Korea UCITS ETF (Acc) is an0.00
Equity0.00
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index0.00
Equity DJ SOUTH KOREA TITANS 30 THEAM EASY UCITS-0.01

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-3.52
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS-0.18
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant-0.05
Equity Value Korea ETF is an exchange-traded fund-0.04
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an-0.02

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares Asia Trust - iShares S&P BSE SENSEX0.00
Equity PowerShares India Portfolio is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity0.00
Equity Franklin Templeton Investment Funds - Franklin0.00
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio0.00

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is a-5.15
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-4.92
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-4.13
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-3.34
Equity Franklin Templeton Investment Funds - Franklin-3.07

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows


Turkey Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (IBOVESPA) EUR is an exchange0.00
Equity Fondo Mutuo BRZ Brazilian Equities is an0.00
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Equity0.00
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Equity0.00

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded-38.02
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange-0.26
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-0.23
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-0.23
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-0.22

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income0.00
Fixed Income ZKB-CIF I Australia Govt. Bond Index is-0.02
Fixed Income Daiwa Bond Fund Series - Monthly Dividend-0.04
Fixed Income UBS Australian Bond Income Fund is an open-end-0.24

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income UBS Australian Bond Income Fund is an open-end-0.24
Fixed Income Daiwa Bond Fund Series - Monthly Dividend-0.04
Fixed Income ZKB-CIF I Australia Govt. Bond Index is-0.02
Fixed Income0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 November 16, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com