Weekly Strategy

October 25, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity1.85
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-19.88
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-494.89
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-0.01
countryBRAZILEquity1.90
countryCHINAEquity-39.26
countryINDIAEquity-108.52
countryJAPANEquity3252.89
countryKOREAEquity-4.96
countryRUSSIAEquity39.60
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity1.32
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity0.00
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-0.78
industryENERGY SECTOREquity51.55
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-0.87
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity104.38
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-9.14
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity6.22
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-4.40
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-22.36
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity159.21
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-1.59
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity4.09
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-81.94
RiskLONG SHORTEquity224.07
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity7.38
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity14.35
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-5.67
segmentBRICEquity-2.05
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-117.24
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity471.86
SizeMID-CAPEquity19.18
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity-39.70

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Investors chose wrong side of the trade in Cons Disc, Inf.Tech and Health Care

Source: Factset, DB, ValueWalk




Emerging markets fund flow showed -117.2 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed 1.9 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -39.3 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -108.5 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -5.0 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 39.6 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 1.3 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -0.8 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 51.5 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -0.9 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 6.2 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -4.4 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 224.1 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity26.38
Equity East Capital Lux - Russian Fund is an open-end8.36
Equity HSBC MSCI Russia Capped UCITS ETF $ is a5.04
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity2.75
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity1.95

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-4.28
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF-2.38
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-0.30
Equity Source RDX UCITS ETF is a UCITS compliant-0.05
Equity DWS Russia is an open-end investment fund-0.05

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ChinaAMC ETF Series - ChinaAMC CSI 300 Index2.51
Equity First State Global Umbrella PLC - China2.40
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded0.70
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -0.62
Equity SPDR S&P China ETF is an exchange-traded-2.27

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-39.50
Equity Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China-3.71
Equity SPDR S&P China ETF is an exchange-traded-2.27
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -0.62
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded0.70

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.90
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.42
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.42
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.90

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS2.90
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.20
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged-0.19
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-1.34
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant-6.54

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant-6.54
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-1.34
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged-0.19
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.20
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS2.90

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is4.13
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded1.67
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI INDIA UCITS ETF is a UCITS1.64
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio1.21
Equity AXA India Fund is an investment-linked0.07

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-65.61
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-13.22
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-12.31
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-9.85
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-6.59

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows


Turkey Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an2.67
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded0.81
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Acc) is an0.06
Equity ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short0.04
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded0.00

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-0.94
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-0.54
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an-0.11
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS-0.09
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income ZKB-CIF I Australia Govt. Bond Index is0.00
Fixed Income Daiwa Bond Fund Series - Monthly Dividend-0.01

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Daiwa Bond Fund Series - Monthly Dividend-0.01
Fixed Income ZKB-CIF I Australia Govt. Bond Index is0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 October 25, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com