Weekly Strategy

October 18, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity0.25
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity12.99
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity983.24
countryAUSTRALIAEquity-4.34
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income1.63
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.20
countryBRAZILEquity-11.29
countryBRAZILFixed Income1111.23
countryCHINAEquity-4399.11
countryCHINAFixed Income-25.66
countryINDIAEquity-372.28
countryINDIAFixed Income-4.86
countryISRAELEquity-0.02
countryJAPANEquity-42293.73
countryJAPANFixed Income-0.49
countryKOREAEquity-6.32
countryRUSSIAEquity78.60
countryRUSSIAFixed Income1.65
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity0.55
countrySPAINEquity-18.61
CountryTAIWANEquity0.46
countryTURKEYEquity-6.22
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-32.02
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity47.82
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity15.24
industryENERGY SECTOREquity194.05
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-0.54
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity89.52
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-0.19
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity10.26
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-1.75
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity184.28
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-3.73
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity274.57
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-16.48
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-9.48
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-341.35
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity318.78
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income196.31
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-0.05
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity3.16
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income9.10
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-387.04
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-2.53
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity64.95
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income223.81
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-2.53
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income2.78
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-6.86
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-213.65
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.01
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income56.62
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income181.27
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-210.43
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-332.92
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income0.30
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.01
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity3.25
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.00
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity3.24
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-131.44
segmentBRICEquity-2.76
segmentBRICFixed Income-0.20
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-355.67
segmentEMEAEquity-0.66
segmentEMEAFixed Income1.90
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-159.94
segmentGCCEquity-5.17
segmentMENAEquity-0.21
segmentMENAFixed Income-4.75
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity219.34
SizeMID-CAPCommodity0.90
SizeMID-CAPEquity-420.27
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity2.97

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: US Investors put money into investment grade corporate bonds GEM and Broad market bonds

Source: Blackrock




Emerging markets fund flow showed -159.9 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -11.3 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 1111.2 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -4399.1 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -25.7 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -372.3 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -4.9 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -6.3 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 78.6 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 1.7 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.6 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -6.2 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 15.2 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 194.0 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -0.5 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -1.7 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 184.3 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -3.7 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 274.6 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -210.4 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -332.9 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 0.3 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded25.71
Equity East Capital Lux - Russian Fund is an open-end17.41
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) -16.82
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D16.54
Equity East Capital - Russian Fund is an open-end12.61

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-8.65
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-8.47
Equity Source RDX UCITS ETF is a UCITS compliant-0.02
Fixed Income Ikra Sicav - Russian Taste is a SICAV incorporated0.00
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS0.11

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -99.99
Equity KB China Mainland A Share Leverage Securities1.33
Equity K China Equity Fund is an open-ended fund1.16
Equity Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund is a0.12
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-2.91

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-99.99
Equity First State Global Umbrella PLC - China-11.63
Equity LYXOR UCITS ETF CHINA ENTERPRISE HSCEI --9.52
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-7.85
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-7.62

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.55
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.55

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,6.08
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end2.96
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end1.84
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.09
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,0.04

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-7.71
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-7.67
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant-1.12
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS-0.70
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end-0.15

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio49.96
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI INDIA UCITS ETF is a UCITS2.55
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.0.88
Fixed Income Kotak Funds - India Fixed Income Fund is0.41
Equity AXA India Fund is an investment-linked0.00

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-99.99
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-81.64
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-42.06
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant-13.17
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded-6.66

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-6.22

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-6.22

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is99.99
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange4.92
Equity HSBC Brazil Fund is an open-end fund incorporated0.46
Fixed Income UBS (Lux) Bond Sicav - Brazil is an open-end0.36
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado0.07

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-5.68
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-5.50
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded-2.36
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded-1.94
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS-1.18

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is15.95
Fixed Income1.56
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)0.89
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD)0.21
Fixed Income Daiwa Bond Fund Series - Monthly Dividend0.05

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-7.95
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-7.30
Equity Swisscanto AST Avant Aktien Ausland Index-3.05
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-2.87
Equity WisdomTree Australia Dividend Fund is an-0.22

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 October 18, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com