Weekly Strategy

September 29, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-4.45
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity4.85
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity530.25
countryAUSTRALIAEquity-34.82
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation0.41
countryBRAZILEquity-8.44
countryBRAZILFixed Income-1433.86
countryCHINAEquity154.80
countryCHINAFixed Income0.00
countryINDIAEquity37.65
countryINDIAFixed Income-0.22
countryISRAELEquity0.36
countryJAPANEquity26752.69
countryKOREAEquity-31.91
countryPOLANDEquity-1.38
countryRUSSIAEquity-14.45
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity-0.59
CountryTAIWANEquity-2.91
countryTURKEYEquity-5.73
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-59.76
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-3.81
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity22.41
industryENERGY SECTOREquity206.93
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity2.27
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity88.47
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity67.84
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.11
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity81.17
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-12.56
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity286.32
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity0.06
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity30.61
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income35.53
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity170.76
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-7.12
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-8.22
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-357.09
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity156.84
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-242.53
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity0.18
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income-0.60
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity40.02
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income0.31
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income80.18
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income190.31
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-93.39
RiskLONG SHORTEquity0.40
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity16.83
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.04
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity42.29
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-34.11
segmentBRICEquity-13.43
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity145.34
segmentEMEAEquity0.15
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity108.31
segmentGCCEquity-0.48
segmentMENAEquity-0.51
segmentMENAFixed Income-6.05
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity800.33
SizeMID-CAPEquity650.18
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity129.14

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Global Cross Border Capital Flow Tittering At the Node... Nothing Like in 2007.. Expecting this to Change?

Source: IMF, Economist




Emerging markets fund flow showed 108.3 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed -0.2 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -8.4 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed -1433.9 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 154.8 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 37.6 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -0.2 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -31.9 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -14.5 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed -0.6 USD mn of outflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -5.7 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 22.4 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 206.9 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 2.3 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.1 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 81.2 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -12.6 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 286.3 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -93.4 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 0.4 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded1.69
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS0.12
Equity HSBC MSCI Russia Capped UCITS ETF $ is a0.09
Equity Source RDX UCITS ETF is a UCITS compliant0.03
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-0.89

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-4.38
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-3.16
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) --2.85
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-2.61
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-2.50

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese99.99
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded12.00
Equity Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China1.08
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end0.18
Fixed Income GaveKal China Fixed Income UCITS Fund is0.08

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity First State Global Umbrella PLC - China-21.70
Equity LYXOR UCITS ETF CHINA ENTERPRISE HSCEI --9.25
Fixed Income Flexifund - Bond RMB is an open-end fund short-0.25
Equity SPDR S&P China ETF is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund is a0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.59

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.59

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an8.80
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,5.35
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end1.54
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged0.31
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end0.26

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS-32.59
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-7.93
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-7.84
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,-0.01
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.20

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.62.44
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI INDIA UCITS ETF is a UCITS10.91
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio10.25
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded4.02
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded1.68

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-23.02
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-8.13
Equity iPath MSCI India Index ETN is an exchange-traded-6.69
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-5.53
Equity iShares India 50 ETF is an exchange-traded-4.70

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,4.17
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-9.90

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-9.90
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,4.17

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond7.31
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange3.95
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end1.25
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end0.84
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS0.04

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is-99.99
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-9.18
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an-3.29
Equity ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short-2.07
Fixed Income UBS (Lux) Bond Sicav - Brazil is an open-end-0.28

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Mixed Allocation Commonwealth Australia/New Zealand Fund0.41
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)-3.88
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,-30.94

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,-30.94
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)-3.88
Mixed Allocation Commonwealth Australia/New Zealand Fund0.41

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 September 29, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com