Weekly Strategy

September 22, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity4.05
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-74.56
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-373.46
countryAUSTRALIAEquity2.97
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.26
countryBRAZILEquity-0.62
countryBRAZILFixed Income85.78
countryCHINAEquity-1474.85
countryCHINAFixed Income-3.72
countryINDIAEquity-75.37
countryINDIAFixed Income-0.06
countryISRAELEquity0.13
countryJAPANEquity-9323.30
countryKOREAEquity-92.39
countryPOLANDEquity-0.12
countryRUSSIAEquity-52.10
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity0.32
CountryTAIWANEquity3.69
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-22.82
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity9.01
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity17.40
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-352.70
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity6.87
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity34.66
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-152.94
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.34
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity102.35
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-12.64
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity17.63
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity0.39
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity19.40
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income0.05
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-97.83
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-39.72
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity20.36
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-183.56
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity24.98
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-10.42
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-6.75
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity50.18
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income0.00
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income0.16
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income110.48
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-122.41
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-1.93
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-4.03
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity-0.03
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity62.93
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-32.10
segmentBRICEquity3.29
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity7.94
segmentEMEAEquity0.27
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-888.29
SizeMID-CAPEquity-177.66
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity-304.11

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Energy Funds Show Most Outflows.

Source: ML




Emerging markets fund flow showed -888.3 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -0.6 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 85.8 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -1474.9 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -3.7 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -75.4 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -0.1 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -92.4 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -52.1 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.3 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 17.4 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -352.7 USD mn of outflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 6.9 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.3 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 102.3 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -12.6 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 17.6 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -122.4 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -1.9 USD mn of outflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-1.22
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-1.33
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-2.59
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-46.97

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-46.97
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-2.59
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-1.33
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-1.22

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund is a non-diversified,67.18
Fixed Income GaveKal China Fixed Income UCITS Fund is1.23
Fixed Income Flexifund - Bond RMB is an open-end fund short0.21
Equity Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund is a0.01
Equity Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China-4.57

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-99.99
Equity First State Global Umbrella PLC - China-22.54
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-5.16
Equity Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China-4.57
Equity Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund is a0.01

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.32

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.32

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,4.78
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.06
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,0.01
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end-0.10
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-0.10

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-95.53
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-0.56
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-0.55
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged-0.38
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end-0.10

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.56.39
Fixed Income Kotak Funds - India Fixed Income Fund is-0.06
Equity iPath MSCI India Index ETN is an exchange-traded-2.26
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.-2.39
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-5.15

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-55.69
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded-39.79
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio-15.43
Equity iShares India 50 ETF is an exchange-traded-11.07
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-5.15

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows


Turkey Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is95.35
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an5.02
Equity ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short0.81
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an0.57
Fixed Income Santander Sicav - Santander Brazilian Short short-0.03

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond-5.91
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-3.76
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-3.23
Fixed Income DWS Brazil Bond Fund is an open-end investment-2.08
Fixed Income UBS (Lux) Bond Sicav - Brazil is an open-end-1.55

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,2.97
Mixed Allocation Commonwealth Australia/New Zealand Fund-0.26

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Mixed Allocation Commonwealth Australia/New Zealand Fund-0.26
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,2.97

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 September 22, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com