Weekly Strategy

August 30, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity37.92
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-34.23
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-76.98
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation2.36
countryAUSTRALIAEquity48.08
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income18.36
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation0.25
countryBRAZILEquity-61.12
countryBRAZILFixed Income2560.67
countryCHINAEquity371.64
countryCHINAFixed Income16.22
countryINDIAEquity182.81
countryINDIAFixed Income-8.40
countryISRAELEquity0.16
countryJAPANEquity-29801.31
countryJAPANFixed Income-31.55
countryKOREAEquity-11.23
countryPOLANDEquity0.51
countryRUSSIAEquity51.56
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-2.21
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity-0.15
countrySPAINEquity-7.28
CountryTAIWANEquity7.34
countryTURKEYEquity-23.20
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-106.14
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-13.49
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity60.76
industryENERGY SECTOREquity168.91
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-3.05
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-5.46
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-0.04
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity-2.24
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-170.80
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-1.21
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity69.33
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-14.54
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity336.37
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity19.16
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income4.42
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity25.97
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income18.25
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity337.54
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income473.95
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation0.13
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity22.21
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income3.40
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-407.90
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income59.86
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.26
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity290.75
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income1004.60
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-2.96
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income0.19
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-1.97
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-45.69
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.72
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income702.73
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation0.00
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil-1.94
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income486.68
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-441.47
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-1664.06
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income3.36
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation-0.30
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity3.16
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity-0.04
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-71.68
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-27.43
segmentBRICEquity-5.08
segmentBRICFixed Income0.10
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-142.71
segmentEMEAEquity0.17
segmentEMEAFixed Income2.29
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity964.25
segmentGCCEquity0.06
segmentGCCFixed Income0.00
segmentGCCMixed Allocation0.00
segmentMENAEquity-1.21
segmentMENAFixed Income-7.33
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-3058.59
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.12
SizeMID-CAPEquity-310.65
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity-70.33

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Utilities Sector Funds Continue To Post Largest Inflows, Energy Funds Get Inflows As Well

Source: ML




Emerging markets fund flow showed 964.2 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed -0.3 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -61.1 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 2560.7 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 371.6 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed 16.2 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 182.8 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -8.4 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -11.2 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 51.6 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed -2.2 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed -0.1 USD mn of outflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -23.2 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 60.8 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 168.9 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -3.1 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -1.2 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 69.3 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -14.5 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 336.4 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -441.5 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -1664.1 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 3.4 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed -0.3 USD mn of outflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity25.58
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded24.47
Equity HSBC MSCI Russia Capped UCITS ETF $ is a6.92
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF4.43
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) -2.66

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-6.79
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-2.88
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-2.69
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-2.59
Fixed Income DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"-2.21

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese90.30
Equity ChinaAMC ETF Series - ChinaAMC CSI 300 Index57.17
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity54.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese54.12
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded39.52

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity GAM Star plc - China Equity is a UCITS-17.73
Equity K China Equity Fund is an open-ended fund-11.01
Equity First State Global Umbrella PLC - China-9.77
Equity BOCIP China Value Fund is an open-end fund-3.43
Fixed Income Flexifund - Bond RMB is an open-end fund short-1.52

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.73
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.88

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.88
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.73

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,7.31
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end2.43
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end0.88
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged0.13
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.11

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-6.67
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-6.63
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-6.60
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant-1.65
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS-0.38

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is85.46
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.64.32
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity54.55
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is30.40
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity19.51

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-68.26
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant-9.29
Fixed Income K Debt Opportunities Fund Ltd is an open-end-6.86
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio-4.72
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI INDIA UCITS ETF is a UCITS-3.07

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-4.49
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-18.71

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-18.71
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-4.49

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is99.99
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS3.00
Fixed Income Aberdeen Global - Brazil Bond Fund is a1.12
Fixed Income Aberdeen Global - Brazil Bond Fund is a1.11
Fixed Income UBS (Lux) Bond Sicav - Brazil is an open-end0.66

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange-21.04
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-13.45
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-12.95
Fixed Income DWS Brazil Bond Fund is an open-end investment-10.03
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-6.38

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income17.86
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,13.82
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is13.71
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV13.71
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV11.46

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD)-6.22
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-4.23
Equity SmartOZZY is an investment fund incorporated0.01
Equity Swisscanto AST Avant Aktien Ausland Index0.11
Fixed Income Daiwa Bond Fund Series - Monthly Dividend0.11

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 August 30, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com