Weekly Strategy

August 2, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity1.27
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-62.31
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity57.67
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation11.24
countryAUSTRALIAEquity24.28
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income5.76
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation0.15
countryBRAZILEquity-8.64
countryBRAZILFixed Income491.78
countryCHINAEquity-1254.29
countryCHINAFixed Income14.66
countryINDIAEquity-117.63
countryINDIAFixed Income-4.89
countryISRAELEquity-0.11
countryJAPANEquity-69473.74
countryJAPANFixed Income-6.86
countryKOREAEquity-40.30
countryPOLANDEquity3.93
countryRUSSIAEquity9.70
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-0.94
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity0.90
countrySPAINEquity4.30
CountryTAIWANEquity4.62
countryTURKEYEquity-1.30
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-53.04
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-31.25
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity32.29
industryENERGY SECTOREquity93.88
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-41.84
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity22.66
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity0.18
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity-0.01
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-37.93
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.06
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity68.50
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-9.27
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity237.23
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity34.41
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income2.99
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity54.12
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income37.26
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity22.51
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-8.15
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation0.77
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity25.63
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income6.58
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-276.07
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-1.33
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.26
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity67.15
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income296.12
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-6.95
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income-2.64
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity3.22
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-160.12
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income0.34
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income472.45
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation-0.07
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil-0.18
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income365.40
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-169.64
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-9575.51
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income-2.79
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.03
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-10.73
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity-0.03
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity21.71
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-26.82
segmentBRICEquity-1.37
segmentBRICFixed Income-0.62
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-249.05
segmentEMEAEquity0.48
segmentEMEAFixed Income1.31
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity703.23
segmentGCCEquity-9.78
segmentGCCFixed Income0.00
segmentMENAEquity1.44
segmentMENAFixed Income-1.20
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity2993.90
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.19
SizeMID-CAPEquity768.67
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity88.13

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Key DM Bond Fund Managers are Putting Money into Emerging Markets Bond Funds

Source: ML




Emerging markets fund flow showed 703.2 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed -0.2 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -8.6 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 491.8 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -1254.3 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed 14.7 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -117.6 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -4.9 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -40.3 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 9.7 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed -0.9 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.9 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -1.3 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 32.3 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 93.9 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -41.8 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.1 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 68.5 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -9.3 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 237.2 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -169.6 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -9575.5 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed -2.8 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity27.25
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF17.49
Equity HSBC MSCI Russia Capped UCITS ETF $ is a5.80
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity5.35
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D3.06

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-48.46
Equity Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfonden is an open-end-2.02
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS-1.10
Fixed Income DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"-0.94
Equity HSBC MSCI Russia Capped UCITS ETF $ is a-0.22

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking24.48
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end9.63
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end1.56
Equity ChinaAMC ETF Series - ChinaAMC CSI 300 Index1.43
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end1.43

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --99.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-99.99
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded-77.70
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-31.83
Equity GAM Star plc - China Equity is a UCITS-31.38

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.78
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.13
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.13
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.78

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,7.74
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified2.79
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.34
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS0.24
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,0.05

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-27.80
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-10.84
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-6.33
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS-4.80
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant-1.68

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.64.12
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded9.65
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded6.80
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity0.98
Equity Excel India Fund is an open-end fund incorporated0.83

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-79.77
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-77.80
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-12.80
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-7.65
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio-7.11

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-1.30

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-1.30

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is99.99
Equity ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short1.65
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an0.96
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond0.93
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Acc) is an0.22

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Aberdeen Global - Brazil Bond Fund is a-53.10
Fixed Income Aberdeen Global - Brazil Bond Fund is a-52.52
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an-7.03
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS-2.46
Fixed Income UBS (Lux) Bond Sicav - Brazil is an open-end-1.12

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is21.93
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end6.54
Fixed Income5.73
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV2.89
Equity SmartMOZY is an exchange traded fund listed0.34

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)-3.35
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-3.10
Equity WisdomTree Australia Dividend Fund is an-0.70
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-0.35
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD)-0.18

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 August 2, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com