Weekly Strategy

July 19, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-13.68
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-593.83
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity3154.37
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation30.50
countryAUSTRALIAEquity14.20
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income32.34
countryBRAZILAlternative0.00
countryBRAZILEquity-135.25
countryBRAZILFixed Income-4705.91
countryCHINAEquity4488.58
countryCHINAFixed Income-40.67
countryINDIAEquity-122.40
countryINDIAFixed Income-33.62
countryISRAELEquity-1.47
countryJAPANEquity-189209.57
countryJAPANFixed Income-1325.19
countryJAPANMixed Allocation-0.26
countryKOREAEquity-187.27
countryPOLANDEquity3.65
countryRUSSIAEquity-581.14
countryRUSSIAFixed Income1.35
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity0.75
countrySPAINEquity-123.69
CountryTAIWANEquity-6.12
countryTURKEYEquity17.13
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity592.86
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-3774.74
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-373.58
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-772.85
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-189.84
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-1720.40
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity89.62
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity-12.75
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-220.74
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-1.56
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity1052.97
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-1311.01
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity623.12
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity12.39
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.51
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-2234.77
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income603.20
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONMixed Allocation109.49
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-3538.21
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income1252.46
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-4.73
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity784.35
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income1.50
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation-1.95
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-5443.07
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-4983.29
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.05
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-1617.00
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-836.35
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-83.23
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income-0.47
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-166.57
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity323.58
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income7.22
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDEquity0.30
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income20.52
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation-0.21
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil-0.68
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income892.28
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-884.87
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-56887.42
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income-1.63
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.00
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-24.16
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity-0.01
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-638.91
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity561.94
segmentBRICEquity-305.03
segmentBRICFixed Income-0.66
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-2646.84
segmentEMEAEquity-0.43
segmentEMEAFixed Income10.24
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity6239.36
segmentGCCEquity-9.91
segmentGCCFixed Income-0.60
segmentGCCMixed Allocation-0.01
segmentMENAEquity-1.72
segmentMENAFixed Income-0.43
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity7803.86
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.51
SizeMID-CAPEquity1341.82
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity448.18

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Investors poured in $1.3 billion on July 14 into an exchange-traded fund that tracks the MSCI Emerging Markets Index

Source: Bloomberg




Emerging markets fund flow showed 6239.4 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed -3.8 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Alternative funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
BRAZIL Equity funds showed -135.2 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed -4705.9 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 4488.6 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -40.7 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -122.4 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -33.6 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -187.3 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -581.1 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 1.4 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.8 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed 17.1 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -373.6 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -772.9 USD mn of outflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -189.8 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -1.6 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 1053.0 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -1311.0 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 623.1 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -884.9 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -56887.4 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed -1.6 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity53.62
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity22.97
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF20.83
Equity HSBC MSCI Russia Capped UCITS ETF $ is a6.10
Fixed Income DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"1.35

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-99.99
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-99.99
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) --52.95
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-50.75

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China99.99
Equity Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund is a non-diversified,90.97
Equity ChinaAMC ETF Series - ChinaAMC CSI 300 Index73.32
Equity Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China71.92

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity BlackRock Global Funds - China Fund is an-99.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-99.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-99.99
Equity China Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,-99.99

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.76
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.01

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.01
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.76

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,5.88
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end0.52
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,0.44
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.23
Equity Enhanced Index Fund (Cayman) Ltd - Enhanced0.00

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Matthews Korea Fund is an open-end fund-46.54
Equity JPMorgan Korea Fund is a unit trust incorporated-36.17
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-29.12
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-16.94
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-16.43

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity India Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified, closed-end82.95
Equity Franklin Templeton Investment Funds - Franklin39.11
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio20.21
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI INDIA UCITS ETF is a UCITS7.24

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-99.99
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-78.14
Equity iPath MSCI India Index ETN is an exchange-traded-41.70
Fixed Income UTI Indian Fixed Income Fund PLC is an-31.78
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-31.47

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,20.01
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF-0.08
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-2.81

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-2.81
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF-0.08
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,20.01

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange23.94
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an16.64
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded1.52
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS0.51
Alternative Advance Umbrella Fund PLC-Advance Brazil0.00

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Handelsbanken Funds - Brazil is an open-end-99.99
Fixed Income Aberdeen Global - Brazil Bond Fund is a-99.99
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is-99.99
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado-55.29
Fixed Income Quadris Environmental Forestry Fund PCC-17.50

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,37.26
Fixed Income34.08
Equity The UBS (Irl) ETF Plc - MSCI Australia UCITS24.98
Equity Swisscanto AST Avant Aktien Ausland Index23.65
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end20.07

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-36.16
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-32.10
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end-21.55
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end-18.24
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)-14.66

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 July 19, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com