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China Country Urbanisation and Economics Report

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Urbanisation
GDP
Investment
Demographics
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Public Spending
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IPO

Top News

Mexico approves up to 50% tariffs on China and other countriesBBCThe levies are set to take effect on 1 January and will apply to goods like cars, clothing and appliances.1 day ago

U.S. backs Japan in dispute with China over radar incidentNBC NewsThe United States has for the first time criticized China for aiming radars at Japanese military aircraft during a training exercise last...1 day ago

EU fears China’s role in Russia’s war on Ukraine is deepeningSouth China Morning PostMultiple sources confirm increase in Beijing backing before China-Russia ties are discussed by ministers from the EU's 27 members on Monday.2 hours ago

China would destroy US military in fight over Taiwan, top secret document warnsThe TelegraphChina would defeat the US military in a war over Taiwan, according to a top-secret US government assessment. US reliance on costly,...2 days ago

Zelenskyy warns Russia, China stepping up military-industrial cooperationAl JazeeraA new report by Ukraine's foreign intelligence has warned of intensifying ties between the strategic partners.1 day ago

Urbanisation Levels

Research on the dynamic changes and influencing factors of the new urbanization level in Counties of China’s revolutionary old areasNatureCounties represent a crucial spatial unit for achieving integrated urban-rural development and coordinated regional development.3 months ago

China vows sustainable urbanisation after decades of breakneck growthReutersChina promised to build liveable, sustainable and resilient cities in the next phase of its urban development after the first top-level...4 months ago

Spatiotemporal characteristics and spatial heterogeneity of influencing factors in China’s urbanization process: based on nighttime light remote sensing dataFrontiersIntroductionThe process of urbanization involves all aspects of society and understanding the spatial differences in urban development is...4 months ago

Does people oriented urbanization catch up with land and population urbanizationNatureRecently, China has undergone rapid urbanization in terms of population and urban land growth. However, there are notable lags in the...4 months ago

Chongqing: The World’s Most Complex Vertical City ExplainedParametric ArchitectureChongqing, unlike any other on Earth, is located at the meeting point of the Jialing and Yangtze Rivers in China. Chongqing, often known as...2 months ago

Urbanization in China - New Action Plan to Facilitate Urban MigrationChina BriefingA new five-year action plan seeks to boost urbanization in China by implementing a series of policies to facilitate the settlement of rural migrants in cities.15 months ago

Lead exposure in Chinese children: Urbanization lowers children's blood lead levels (BLLs)ScienceDirect.comThis study is the initial investigation to explore the correlation between urbanization and BLLs in Chinese children.19 months ago

Degree of urbanization in China in 2023, by province or regionStatistaIn 2023, the urbanization rate in different provinces of China varied between 89.5 percent in Shanghai municipality and 38.9 percent in Tibet.69 months ago

What Should We Understand about Urbanization in China?Yale InsightsThe scale of urbanization in China is without precedent in human history. The transformation is also complex and nuanced, says Yale's Karen Seto.145 months ago

Influence of Urbanization on the Spatial Distribution of Associations Between Air Pollution and Mortality in Beijing, ChinaAGU PublicationsPM2.5- and O3-related mortality risks presented significant spatial heterogeneity Urbanization had effects on PM2.5, O3, and mortality...32 months ago

GDP

Historic Shift Underway in China’s Economy as Investment Slump DeepensThe New York TimesInvestment in manufacturing, infrastructure and property is expected to fall this year, a remarkable turn for an economy whose growth...10 hours ago

China can sustain 5 to 6% GDP growth through 2035: economistSouth China Morning PostTech, talent and the Chinese system give Beijing unique advantages over other late-developing economies, top economist says.1 day ago

Multiple global institutions lift China’s GDP forecasts; Projections underscore nation’s stabilizing role in global economy: expertGlobal TimesAs year 2025 comes to an end, a growing number of international organizations and foreign financial institutions have successively upgraded...2 days ago

China’s powerhouse province targets doubling GDP by 2035 – but can it deliver?South China Morning PostGuangdong, China's largest provincial economy, has vowed to double its economy by 2035 from 2022 levels, in line with the central...2 days ago

China to keep high fiscal deficit ratio in 2026 to buoy spending plans: analystsSouth China Morning PostChina is expected to set its fiscal deficit ratio at around 4 per cent of gross domestic product in 2026, analysts said,...8 hours ago

IMF raises China growth forecast to 5% for 2025, citing resilienceSouth China Morning PostChina's economy is projected to grow by 5 per cent in 2025 before slowing to 4.5 per cent in 2026, the International Monetary Fund said on...2 days ago

China likely to chase 5% GDP growth in 2026 in bid to end deflationReutersChina needs average annual growth of 4.17% over the next decade to double per capita GDP to $20,000 from its 2020 level, a milestone that would...1 week ago

China’s Economy is Forecast to Grow Faster Than Expected in 2026Goldman SachsThe team nudged its forecast for China's 2025 real GDP growth from 4.9% to 5.0%, and with even bigger increases for forecasts for the next two...3 weeks ago

Japan’s China row could be the GDP killer that sinks TakaichiAsia TimesJapan's China row could be the GDP killer that sinks Takaichi ... TOKYO — By taking a hard line on China, Japan's Sanae Takaichi thinks she's...3 weeks ago

The growing problem with China’s unreliable numbersFinancial TimesBeijing's GDP figures have drawn scrutiny for years but the questions have become more acute.3 weeks ago

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Investment

China signals concern over falling investmentFinancial TimesCommunist party leadership pledges to 'stabilise' major engine of economic growth.1 day ago

China Investment Corp. reports 18% growth, portfolio refinementsPensions & InvestmentsChina's sovereign wealth fund restructured its public equity portfolio, deepened management of private markets partnerships, and enhanced...2 days ago

World Bank raises China's economic growth forecast for 2025 to 4.9%Anadolu AjansıBank increased its projection for Chinese economic growth for this year by 0.4 percentage points - Anadolu Ajansı.1 day ago

China’s economy grows 4.8% in third quarter as expected, but investment sees 'rare and alarming' dropCNBCFixed-asset investment, which includes real estate, unexpectedly contracted 0.5% in the first nine months of the year as investment into...1 month ago

ChinaWorld Bank GroupAccording to the World Bank's latest China Economic Update, Advancing Reforms, Enhancing Prospects, growth is estimated at 4.9% in 2025 and projected at...1 week ago

China Investment Crash Puzzles Economists, Threatens GrowthBloomberg.comTakeaways by Bloomberg AI Hide ... China's collapsing investment is as unprecedented as it is hard to explain. A plunge estimated at more than 11%...1 month ago

China’s growth softens in October as property drags investment further downSouth China Morning PostNational fixed-asset investment fell by 1.7 per cent from January to October, a significant widening of the 0.5 per cent drop recorded in the...1 month ago

China’s Economy Stumbles After Unprecedented Slump in InvestmentYahoo Finance(Bloomberg) -- China's economic activity cooled more than expected at the start of the fourth quarter, with an unprecedented slump in...1 month ago

China Registers Worst Investment Decline in Years as Slowdown ContinuesThe Wall Street JournalConsumption also slowed, with retail sales on their longest run of decelerating growth since 2021.1 month ago

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Demographics

‘We Can’t Even Afford to Have Sex’: China’s New Condom Tax Draws IreTime MagazineChina is removing its tax exemption on contraceptives in an effort to boost birth rates. But some are concerned that it penalizes women,...10 hours ago

China's Failing Bid to Reverse Population DeclineThink Global HealthChina's policies to combat population decline have struggled to address gender inequality and the cost of living.5 months ago

China's Demographic Reckoning: The Economic and Strategic Cost of Aging Before Prosperity想想論壇China's demographic structure is undergoing unprecedented, rapid, and large-scale changes, presenting systemic challenges to its economy, society, finance,...1 week ago

A town in northeast China has shrunk by a third since 2010. Here's one family's storyNPRAn elementary school in Yimianpo is now a storage yard. The number of children in the town has dropped by half and there are fewer than...1 month ago

Opinion | Gloomy population projections for China? Add a pinch of saltSouth China Morning PostThe UN's drastic forecast shouldn't be taken at face value. Still, China should rethink its urbanisation strategy and learn from the US.2 months ago

China’s new ‘condom tax’ draws skepticism and worries over health risks朝日新聞China will soon start collecting a value-added tax on contraceptive drugs and products for the first time in over three decades,...17 hours ago

Charted: Populations of China, India, U.S., and Europe (1950-2100)Visual CapitalistHow will populations shift by 2100? This chart compares India, China, Europe, and the U.S. across 150 years of UN demographic projections.3 months ago

China’s looming demographic challenge could up-end world orderGeographicalChina's population is set to shrink by more than 150 million by 2050, while the proportion of seniors will keep on rising.3 months ago

The Running Out of People Story: The Silliest Theme Pushed by Intellectual TypesCenter for Economic and Policy ResearchChina's shrinking workforce sounds scary—until you factor in productivity growth. Here's why fears of economic collapse are overblown and...1 month ago

China Faces Economic Blow From Population CrisisNewsweekChina's potential output growth could fall to half its 2020s level by mid-century, with a shrinking labor force becoming a structural drag...4 months ago

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Export/Import

China Is Too Big to Rely on Exports for Growth, IMF Chief WarnsThe Wall Street JournalOn visit to Beijing, economist urges government to get population spending more.2 days ago

IMF's Georgieva urges China to speed up 'long-overdue' shift away from relying on exports for growth, so as 'not to provoke' other countriesCNBCChina needs to speed up its decades-long plan to increase its reliance on consumption as a driver of growth, IMF Managing Director...2 days ago

China’s trade surplus hits $1 trillon in just 11 months despite plunge in shipments to USCNNChina's exports returned to growth in November following an unexpected contraction the month before, although shipments to the United States...4 days ago

What Trade War? China’s Export Juggernaut Marches OnThe New York TimesAs Trump has imposed steep tariffs on China, American importers are buying much less. But China has offset the decline from the United...1 month ago

China trade surplus tops $1 trillion for first time on non-US growthReutersChina's trade surplus tops $1 trillion in first 11 months of 2025; November exports top expectations as non-US shipments lead amid high US...4 days ago

China’s Trade Surplus Tops $1 Trillion After Exports ReboundBloomberg.comChina's annual trade surplus exceeded $1 trillion for the first time despite a deepening plunge in shipments to the US, risking a backlash...4 days ago

China's trade surplus tops $1 trillion despite Trump's attempt to contain it. Here's what that meansCNBCChina's overall exports surpassed market expectations in November as manufacturers loaded up shipments to other markets.4 days ago

China’s trade surplus tops $1tn mark as exports rebound despite tariffsING THINK economic and financial analysis | ING ThinkChina's exports grew by 5.9% year on year in November, up from -1.1% in October, beating expectations for a smaller recovery.4 days ago

China's exports returned to growth in November following an unexpected contraction the month before, although shipments to the United States dropped nearly 29% from a year earlier in an eighth straight month of double-digit declines. https://cnn.it/48mP09qFacebook3 days ago

How did China’s trade surplus hit $1 trillion?Al JazeeraDonald Trump's trade tariffs have failed to hold back China's export dominance, which scaled new heights in November.3 days ago

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Public Spending

China January-June fiscal revenue dips, expenditure rise slows downReutersChina's fiscal revenue dipped 0.3% in the first six months from a year earlier, the finance ministry said on Friday, maintaining the rate of...4 months ago

China Land Sales Income Hits Decade Low, Widening Budget DeficitBloomberg.comLand sales revenue slumped 14.6% on year to 194.1 billion yuan ($27 billion) last month, the lowest since May 2015. The figure, based on...5 months ago

China’s Harsh Fiscal WinterRhodium GroupChina's aggregate fiscal revenues are likely to decline in 2025, even if China meets its full-year economic growth targets of “around 5%.”8 months ago

Ministry releases data on general public budget revenue showing slight increasesChina DailyChina's general public budget revenue, the sum of tax revenue and non-tax revenue, reached about 18.65 trillion yuan ($2.62 trillion) in the...3 weeks ago

China's Tax Revenue Maintains Strong Growth in OctoberYicai Global(Yicai) Nov. 18 -- China's tax revenue continued to expand in October for the fourth consecutive month, according to the latest official...3 weeks ago

China’s Government Is Short of Money as Its Leaders Face TrumpThe New York TimesBuried in China's latest government budget were some numbers that add up to an alarming trend. Tax revenue is dropping.8 months ago

Making Sense of China’s Government BudgetChinaPower ProjectThis interactive provides a breakdown of China's fiscal incomes and outlays within the general public budget.32 months ago

Effective Tariff Rates and Revenues (Updated September 10, 2025)Penn Wharton Budget ModelThe USITC recently released updated trade and tariff data. We use this data to provide up-to-date estimates of customs revenue and effective...3 months ago

September 2025 — Monthly analysis of Russian fossil fuel exports and sanctionsCentre for Research on Energy and Clean AirAuthors: Vaibhav Raghunandan, Petras Katinas. Russian fossil fuel export revenues hit lowest levels since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine...1 month ago

China's public budget revenue rises to over $2tChina Daily - Global EditionOf this, the country's tax revenue amounted to some 12.11 trillion yuan, a marginal increase of 0.02 percent compared to the same period last...2 months ago

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Public Debt

In Depth: China Bad-Debt Managers’ Bet on Bank Stocks Could BackfireCaixin GlobalIn Depth: China Bad-Debt Managers' Bet on Bank Stocks Could Backfire - 'Big Four' asset management companies have each taken large stakes in...9 hours ago

China’s debt reckoningEast Asia ForumShare ... China faces substantial challenges created by a persistent drag of high debt and weak demand. Using the IMF's augmented definition,...2 months ago

Asian investors flock to Gulf debt in hunt for yield and growthReutersAsian investors are piling into Gulf bonds and loans this year, reflecting both deepening trade and finance ties with the fast-growing...2 days ago

Global debt rises to record high of nearly $346T in 3rd quarterAnadolu AjansıDebt up by $26.4T in first 3 quarters of year, largely fueled by government borrowing, says Institute of International Finance - Anadolu...3 days ago

In Depth: China bad-debt managers’ bet on bank stocks could backfireThe Business TimesA new player has emerged in the boardrooms of China's major banks: the “Big Four” state-owned asset management companies (AMCs) created to...7 hours ago

China’s Last ‘Too-Big-to-Fail’ Housing Giant Loses State SupportBloomberg.comVanke's mounting problems are raising alarms about a $50 billion debt pile.20 hours ago

The 30 countries heavily indebted to ChinaYahoo Finance UK80% of China's overseas lending portfolio currently supports countries in financial distress, with the total it's owed reaching more than $1 trillion (£790bn).3 weeks ago

When the Storm Hit: How COVID Exposed China’s Flawed Fiscal SystemStanford UniversityMounting hidden local government debt is one of China's pressing challenges. Held by local government financing vehicles (LGFVs) and...7 months ago

China Vanke bondholders meet on repayment delay as property woes deepenNikkei AsiaSHANGHAI -- Bondholders of Chinese property developer China Vanke were understood to have met Wednesday to review a proposal to delay bond...2 days ago

Using China’s Central Government Balance Sheet to “Clean up” Local Government Debt Is a Bad IdeaCarnegie Endowment for International PeaceWhy is excessive debt a problem? This belief—however widespread—is mistaken. While the debt itself may not be the fundamental issue, it reflects...4 months ago

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Recent IPO News

China’s Next Play in AI Race? Faster, Easier IPOsThe Wall Street JournalA reform that loosens stock-market listing rules could help local chip makers catch up to foreign rivals via access to fresh funding.9 hours ago

China IPO Mania Gives Investors Just a 0.02% Shot at StockBloomberg.comTrying to get a piece of a new listing in China has always been a long shot, but this year it has become a near-impossible feat.18 hours ago

China’s generative AI tiger MiniMax pursues Hong Kong IPO to expand global reachSouth China Morning PostChinese artificial intelligence start-up MiniMax plans to channel funds from its proposed Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) into...17 hours ago

Chinese AI Unicorns MiniMax and Zhipu Said to Target Hong Kong IPOs SoonBloomberg.comTwo Chinese artificial-intelligence startups seen as possible rivals to OpenAI aim to complete their Hong Kong initial public offerings in...1 day ago

'China's Nvidia' Moore Threads surges over 400% on trading debut after $1.1 billion listingCNBCShares of Moore Threads soared by more than 400% on its debut in Shanghai following its $1.1 billion listing. Its IPO comes as Beijing...1 week ago