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Key Info

Grupo de Inversiones Suramericana SA Web - www.gruposuramericana.com

Tel - 57-4-435-5729

Next Reporting Date - 15.05.2019

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    Grupo de Inversiones Suramericana SA

    Diversified Financials

    COLOMBIA


    DCF Model Assumptions

    Risk Free Rate

    4.16%

    Country Equity Risk Premium

    6.00%

    Cost of Debt

    4.38%

    Cost of Debt

    4.38%

    Long Term Growth

    2.00%

    Beta Assumption

    1.14

    Current Market Cap mln$

    6,441.35

    Net Debt mln$

    3,333.64

    WACC Estimate

    8.74%

    Ordinary Current Price $

    10.78

    DCF Model

    DCF20152016201720182019F2020F2021F2022F2023F2024F2025F2026F2027F2028F2029F
    Revenue3572.264022.324083.024173.514271.964349.454446.824564.414703.934828.424956.215087.385222.025360.235502.09
    EBITDA Costs2939.662983.373435.093556.583505.153574.443661.503766.663891.414003.234118.254236.584358.314483.534612.36
    EBITDA632.601038.96647.93616.93766.82775.01785.31797.76812.52825.20837.96850.80863.72876.70889.74
    EBITDA Margin17.7125.8315.8714.7817.9517.8217.6617.4817.2717.0916.9116.7216.5416.3616.17
    Operating Costs3172.663694.103834.483955.034060.404159.734284.544435.294614.134776.414944.405118.295298.305484.645677.54
    Operating Profit399.59328.22248.54218.48211.56189.72162.27129.1389.8052.0111.82-30.91-76.28-124.42-175.45
    Operating Margin11.198.166.095.234.954.363.652.831.911.080.24-0.61-1.46-2.32-3.19
    Pretax Costs2875.833357.433483.913604.233697.623789.663905.324045.014210.734361.284517.214678.714845.995019.245198.70
    PTP696.43664.89599.11569.28574.34559.79541.50519.41493.20467.14439.00408.67376.04340.98303.40
    Pretax Margin19.5016.5314.6713.6413.4412.8712.1811.3810.489.678.868.037.206.365.51
    Net Income Costs3572.263548.043657.343772.603710.943729.333752.443780.353813.463841.923870.603899.493928.603957.923987.47
    Net Income0.00474.28425.68400.91561.02620.12694.38784.07890.47986.501085.611187.891293.431402.311514.63
    Net Margin0.0011.7910.439.6113.1314.2615.6217.1818.9320.4321.9023.3524.7726.1627.53
    Revenue Less Capex3638.404075.624128.624224.124316.514391.654486.064600.104735.394855.874979.425106.115236.025369.245505.85
    Capex-66.15-53.30-45.59-50.61-44.54-42.20-39.25-35.68-31.46-27.45-23.21-18.73-14.00-9.02-3.76
    Capex to Revenues-1.85-1.33-1.12-1.21-1.04-0.97-0.88-0.78-0.67-0.57-0.47-0.37-0.27-0.17-0.07
    Revenue less FCF2059.351883.134511.646377.435426.075856.696397.787051.287826.608620.979495.9610459.7511521.3712690.7413978.80
    FCF1512.912139.19-428.62-2203.92-1154.11-1507.24-1950.96-2486.86-3122.67-3792.54-4539.74-5372.37-6299.35-7330.51-8476.71
    FCF to Revenue42.3553.18-10.50-52.81-27.02-34.65-43.87-54.48-66.38-78.55-91.60-105.60-120.63-136.76-154.06

    COLOMBIA Comparables

    tickercompanycountryMarket Cap
    2019
    PE RATIO
    2019
    PE RATIO
    2020
    EV/EBITDA
    2019
    EV/EBITDA
    2020
    P/S
    2019
    DIVIDEND YIELD
    2019
    EBITDA Margin
    2019
    P/B
    2019
    ROE
    2019
    6 month return
    2019
    GRUPOSUR CBGrupo de Inversiones Suramericana SACOLOMBIA 6441.3510.7910.1819.6818.340.961.507.390.757.3013.75
    PFGRUPSU CBGrupo de Inversiones Suramericana SACOLOMBIA 6441.3510.319.7219.6818.340.961.577.390.727.3015.42
    CORFICOL CBCorp Financiera Colombiana SACOLOMBIA 2275.68------#????!--28.36

    International Comparables

    tickercompanycountryMarket Cap
    2019
    PE RATIO
    2019
    PE RATIO
    2020
    EV/EBITDA
    2019
    EV/EBITDA
    2020
    P/S
    2019
    DIVIDEND YIELD
    2019
    EBITDA Margin
    2019
    P/B
    2019
    ROE
    2019
    6 month return
    2019
    AXP USAmerican Express CoUNITED STATES 96769.1314.3512.86--2.221.39#????!4.1830.0915.33
    MS USMorgan StanleyUNITED STATES 79730.949.568.75--1.982.75#????!1.0511.369.03
    GS USGoldman Sachs Group Inc/TheUNITED STATES 76806.828.627.87--2.181.69#????!0.9110.63-4.39
    BLK USBlackRock IncUNITED STATES 73761.3017.0915.6312.7011.695.212.8141.002.2213.1324.52
    CME USCME Group IncUNITED STATES 63698.9225.8423.5220.1818.4812.792.7166.372.419.021.41
    SCHW USCharles Schwab Corp/TheUNITED STATES 60453.5616.3115.097.947.545.491.5050.453.1019.755.58
    BK USBank of New York Mellon Corp/TheUNITED STATES 46487.4511.9110.92--2.902.48#????!1.1910.297.99
    ICE USIntercontinental Exchange IncUNITED STATES 45721.7321.3419.2415.7414.668.591.3362.742.5912.2710.35
    388 HKHong Kong Exchanges & Clearing LtdHONG KONG 43751.3632.4328.7618.0816.0419.742.7876.398.0125.1632.01
    COF USCapital One Financial CorpUNITED STATES 41325.777.997.35--1.431.87#????!0.7310.003.66
    6030 HKCITIC Securities Co LtdCHINA 39497.6113.6412.33--6.152.91#????!1.118.0628.89
    MCO USMoody's CorpUNITED STATES 36636.4124.4021.9418.2616.847.820.9847.7865.95222.4037.24
    INVEB SSInvestor ABSWEDEN 36172.5020.4131.547.1828.9411.703.10191.280.8527.0615.22
    MQG AUMacquarie Group LtdAUSTRALIA 32560.8015.7315.06--3.814.38#????!2.6717.4823.89
    TRI USThomson Reuters CorpCANADA 30429.0654.9932.8221.9716.485.132.3523.833.437.7434.01
    TRI CNThomson Reuters CorpCANADA 30402.9154.9432.7921.9516.475.132.3523.833.437.7433.90
    AMTD USTD Ameritrade Holding CorpUNITED STATES 29252.3613.1112.2210.229.734.962.3254.013.3126.545.06
    FSR SJFirstRand LtdSOUTH AFRICA 25932.1813.4012.18--3.634.38#????!2.8122.0811.03
    TROW UST Rowe Price Group IncUNITED STATES 25458.9414.3813.8610.289.864.612.7943.553.8526.9716.42
    DFS USDiscover Financial ServicesUNITED STATES 25293.208.968.20--2.222.13#????!2.0824.7216.32
    STT USState Street CorpUNITED STATES 25274.1910.389.17--2.112.99#????!1.1311.342.53
    DB1 GRDeutsche Boerse AGGERMANY 24894.4919.9618.1813.1012.077.662.5361.334.0721.175.29
    LSE LNLondon Stock Exchange Group PLCBRITAIN 22826.9826.6023.0515.9914.397.961.3552.554.6817.1920.08
    6837 HKHaitong Securities Co LtdCHINA 21595.0011.8210.78--4.992.69#????!0.806.8231.86
    NTRS USNorthern Trust CorpUNITED STATES 21318.8614.4613.19--3.492.52#????!2.1215.2111.70
    AMP USAmeriprise Financial IncUNITED STATES 19641.529.118.116.886.721.582.6325.013.2236.9620.60
    MSCI USMSCI IncUNITED STATES 18904.1036.7531.8324.4621.8412.251.0454.511220.11105.7057.52
    8591 JPORIX CorpJAPAN 18616.126.195.9010.279.950.804.8020.720.6911.65-5.69
    BEN USFranklin Resources IncUNITED STATES 18057.0514.4213.327.717.823.162.9130.411.7812.1022.96
    DBK GRDeutsche Bank AGGERMANY 16696.4113.459.07--0.602.74#????!0.241.84-16.64