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Key Info

Corp Financiera Colombiana SA Web - www.corficolombiana.com

Tel - 57-1-286-3300

Next Reporting Date - 15.05.2019

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    Corp Financiera Colombiana SA

    Diversified Financials

    COLOMBIA


    DCF Model Assumptions

    Risk Free Rate

    4.16%

    Country Equity Risk Premium

    6.00%

    Cost of Debt

    4.38%

    Cost of Debt

    4.38%

    Long Term Growth

    2.00%

    Beta Assumption

    0.98

    Current Market Cap mln$

    2,275.68

    Net Debt mln$

    2,990.45

    WACC Estimate

    6.83%

    Ordinary Current Price $

    8.21

    DCF Model

    DCF20152016201720182019F2020F2021F2022F2023F2024F2025F2026F2027F2028F2029F
    Revenue2114.062339.382182.392958.422970.753114.153294.343511.973770.174018.294282.754564.624865.035185.225526.47
    EBITDA Costs1453.101679.361520.221643.121674.951700.271732.071770.491816.071856.401897.631939.771982.862026.892071.91
    EBITDA660.96660.02662.181315.311295.801413.891562.271741.481954.102161.892385.122624.842882.173158.323454.56
    EBITDA Margin31.2628.2130.3444.4643.6245.4047.4249.5951.8353.8055.6957.5059.2460.9162.51
    Operating Costs1707.851982.471840.771949.381986.252015.352051.922096.092148.492194.802242.122290.452339.822390.262441.79
    Operating Profit406.21356.91341.621009.04984.501098.801242.421415.881621.681823.492040.642274.172525.212794.953084.68
    Operating Margin19.2115.2615.6534.1133.1435.2837.7140.3243.0145.3847.6549.8251.9153.9055.82
    Pretax Costs1707.851982.471840.771949.381986.252015.352051.922096.092148.492194.802242.122290.452339.822390.262441.79
    PTP406.21356.91341.621009.04984.501098.801242.421415.881621.681823.492040.642274.172525.212794.953084.68
    Pretax Margin19.2115.2615.6534.1133.1435.2837.7140.3243.0145.3847.6549.8251.9153.9055.82
    Net Income Costs2114.062238.102182.392958.422953.143098.483281.103501.663763.344015.344284.224571.104877.205203.795552.25
    Net Income0.00101.280.000.0017.6115.6713.2410.316.832.95-1.47-6.49-12.17-18.58-25.78
    Net Margin0.004.330.000.000.590.500.400.290.180.07-0.03-0.14-0.25-0.36-0.47
    Revenue Less Capex2237.322564.682214.823018.463052.953189.333360.683567.643813.184047.224295.634559.294839.135136.155451.39
    Capex-123.26-225.30-32.42-60.04-82.20-75.17-66.34-55.67-43.01-28.93-12.885.3225.9049.0775.08
    Capex to Revenues-5.83-9.63-1.49-2.03-2.77-2.41-2.01-1.59-1.14-0.72-0.300.120.530.951.36
    Revenue less FCF2854.061890.042058.782325.552195.982174.402147.282114.522075.662043.762012.351981.421950.971920.981891.46
    FCF-740.00449.34123.61632.88774.76939.751147.071397.451694.511974.542270.412583.202914.063264.233635.01
    FCF to Revenue-35.0019.215.6621.3926.0830.1834.8239.7944.9549.1453.0156.5959.9062.9565.77

    COLOMBIA Comparables

    tickercompanycountry Market Cap
    2019
    PE RATIO
    2019
    PE RATIO
    2020
    EV/EBITDA
    2019
    EV/EBITDA
    2020
    P/S
    2019
    DIVIDEND YIELD
    2019
    EBITDA Margin
    2019
    P/B
    2019
    ROE
    2019
    6 month return
    2019
    GRUPOSUR CBGrupo de Inversiones Suramericana SACOLOMBIA 6441.3510.7910.1819.6818.340.961.507.390.757.3013.75
    PFGRUPSU CBGrupo de Inversiones Suramericana SACOLOMBIA 6441.3510.319.7219.6818.340.961.577.390.727.3015.42
    CORFICOL CBCorp Financiera Colombiana SACOLOMBIA 2275.68------#????!--28.36

    International Comparables

    tickercompanycountry Market Cap
    2019
    PE RATIO
    2019
    PE RATIO
    2020
    EV/EBITDA
    2019
    EV/EBITDA
    2020
    P/S
    2019
    DIVIDEND YIELD
    2019
    EBITDA Margin
    2019
    P/B
    2019
    ROE
    2019
    6 month return
    2019
    AXP USAmerican Express CoUNITED STATES 96769.1314.3512.86--2.221.39#????!4.1830.0915.33
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    GS USGoldman Sachs Group Inc/TheUNITED STATES 76806.828.627.87--2.181.69#????!0.9110.63-4.39
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    CME USCME Group IncUNITED STATES 63698.9225.8423.5220.1818.4812.792.7166.372.419.021.41
    SCHW USCharles Schwab Corp/TheUNITED STATES 60453.5616.3115.097.947.545.491.5050.453.1019.755.58
    BK USBank of New York Mellon Corp/TheUNITED STATES 46487.4511.9110.92--2.902.48#????!1.1910.297.99
    ICE USIntercontinental Exchange IncUNITED STATES 45721.7321.3419.2415.7414.668.591.3362.742.5912.2710.35
    388 HKHong Kong Exchanges & Clearing LtdHONG KONG 43751.3632.4328.7618.0816.0419.742.7876.398.0125.1632.01
    COF USCapital One Financial CorpUNITED STATES 41325.777.997.35--1.431.87#????!0.7310.003.66
    6030 HKCITIC Securities Co LtdCHINA 39497.6113.6412.33--6.152.91#????!1.118.0628.89
    MCO USMoody's CorpUNITED STATES 36636.4124.4021.9418.2616.847.820.9847.7865.95222.4037.24
    INVEB SSInvestor ABSWEDEN 36172.5020.4131.547.1828.9411.703.10191.280.8527.0615.22
    MQG AUMacquarie Group LtdAUSTRALIA 32560.8015.7315.06--3.814.38#????!2.6717.4823.89
    TRI USThomson Reuters CorpCANADA 30429.0654.9932.8221.9716.485.132.3523.833.437.7434.01
    TRI CNThomson Reuters CorpCANADA 30402.9154.9432.7921.9516.475.132.3523.833.437.7433.90
    AMTD USTD Ameritrade Holding CorpUNITED STATES 29252.3613.1112.2210.229.734.962.3254.013.3126.545.06
    FSR SJFirstRand LtdSOUTH AFRICA 25932.1813.4012.18--3.634.38#????!2.8122.0811.03
    TROW UST Rowe Price Group IncUNITED STATES 25458.9414.3813.8610.289.864.612.7943.553.8526.9716.42
    DFS USDiscover Financial ServicesUNITED STATES 25293.208.968.20--2.222.13#????!2.0824.7216.32
    STT USState Street CorpUNITED STATES 25274.1910.389.17--2.112.99#????!1.1311.342.53
    DB1 GRDeutsche Boerse AGGERMANY 24894.4919.9618.1813.1012.077.662.5361.334.0721.175.29
    LSE LNLondon Stock Exchange Group PLCBRITAIN 22826.9826.6023.0515.9914.397.961.3552.554.6817.1920.08
    6837 HKHaitong Securities Co LtdCHINA 21595.0011.8210.78--4.992.69#????!0.806.8231.86
    NTRS USNorthern Trust CorpUNITED STATES 21318.8614.4613.19--3.492.52#????!2.1215.2111.70
    AMP USAmeriprise Financial IncUNITED STATES 19641.529.118.116.886.721.582.6325.013.2236.9620.60
    MSCI USMSCI IncUNITED STATES 18904.1036.7531.8324.4621.8412.251.0454.511220.11105.7057.52
    8591 JPORIX CorpJAPAN 18616.126.195.9010.279.950.804.8020.720.6911.65-5.69
    BEN USFranklin Resources IncUNITED STATES 18057.0514.4213.327.717.823.162.9130.411.7812.1022.96
    DBK GRDeutsche Bank AGGERMANY 16696.4113.459.07--0.602.74#????!0.241.84-16.64