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Key Info

Mizuho Financial Group Inc Web - www.mizuho-fg.co.jp

Tel - 81-3-5224-1111

Next Reporting Date - 15.05.2019

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    Mizuho Financial Group Inc

    Banks

    JAPAN


    DCF Model Assumptions

    Risk Free Rate

    2.00%

    Country Equity Risk Premium

    6.00%

    Cost of Debt

    4.00%

    Cost of Debt

    4.00%

    Long Term Growth

    2.00%

    Beta Assumption

    0.75

    Current Market Cap mln$

    39,395.50

    Net Debt mln$

    -39,395.50

    WACC Estimate

    0.00%

    Ordinary Current Price $

    1.55

    DCF Model

    DCF20152016201720182019F2020F2021F2022F2023F2024F2025F2026F2027F2028F2029F
    Revenue26824.4825441.8728961.2929055.7528307.0828586.3928864.2929219.2029576.9529914.7330256.3730601.9130951.3931304.8731662.38
    EBITDA Costs26824.4825441.8728961.2929055.7528307.0828586.3928864.2929219.2029576.9529914.7330256.3730601.9130951.3931304.8731662.38
    EBITDA0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
    EBITDA Margin0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
    Operating Costs17582.8817125.7922138.9221993.4720815.8621235.2821652.6122185.5622722.7923241.4923772.0324314.6824869.7125437.4226018.09
    Operating Profit9241.618316.076822.387062.287491.237351.117211.697033.646854.166673.246484.346287.236081.685867.455644.29
    Operating Margin34.4532.6923.5624.3126.4625.7224.9824.0723.1722.3121.4320.5519.6518.7417.83
    Pretax Costs17767.9217036.4721707.1621835.5220629.9021025.6421419.3821922.2322429.1222917.5123416.5423926.4424447.4424979.7825523.72
    PTP9056.568405.407254.137220.237677.187560.757444.917296.977147.846997.226839.836675.476503.956325.086138.66
    Pretax Margin33.7633.0425.0524.8527.1226.4525.7924.9724.1723.3922.6121.8121.0120.2019.39
    Net Income Costs21230.0419848.4723378.2423851.9322860.7723158.0423453.8323831.5624212.3324574.3524941.7825314.7025693.2026077.3626467.27
    Net Income5594.445593.395583.065203.825446.315428.355410.475387.645364.625340.385314.595287.205258.195227.505195.11
    Net Margin20.8621.9819.2817.9119.2418.9918.7418.4418.1417.8517.5717.2816.9916.7016.41
    Revenue Less Capex28801.9326002.9129938.4629579.0129274.1629537.2829799.0830133.4330470.4530788.0331108.9231433.1631760.7832091.8132426.29
    Capex-1977.45-561.04-977.16-523.26-967.07-950.89-934.79-914.22-893.50-873.30-852.56-831.25-809.38-786.94-763.91
    Capex to Revenues-7.37-2.21-3.37-1.80-3.42-3.33-3.24-3.13-3.02-2.92-2.82-2.72-2.62-2.51-2.41
    Revenue less FCF42853.2629502.5355741.7128373.6741099.8941851.8442600.0243555.5044518.6445444.9146390.4547355.6748340.9749346.7750373.49
    FCF-16028.77-4060.66-26780.42682.08-12792.81-13265.45-13735.72-14336.30-14941.69-15530.18-16134.09-16753.76-17389.58-18041.90-18711.11
    FCF to Revenue-59.75-15.96-92.472.35-45.19-46.40-47.59-49.06-50.52-51.91-53.32-54.75-56.18-57.63-59.10

    JAPAN Comparables

    tickercompanycountry Market Cap
    2019
    PE RATIO
    2019
    PE RATIO
    2020
    EV/EBITDA
    2019
    EV/EBITDA
    2020
    P/S
    2019
    DIVIDEND YIELD
    2019
    EBITDA Margin
    2019
    P/B
    2019
    ROE
    2019
    6 month return
    2019
    8306 JPMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group IncJAPAN 67208.327.407.50--1.984.00#????!0.446.17-14.01
    8316 JPSumitomo Mitsui Financial Group IncJAPAN 50317.387.567.64--1.944.34#????!0.527.21-3.16
    8411 JPMizuho Financial Group IncJAPAN 39395.5018.848.72--2.324.32#????!0.493.82-5.87
    8309 JPSumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings IncJAPAN 13487.508.298.11--2.173.59#????!0.546.66-9.44
    8308 JPResona Holdings IncJAPAN 9761.596.197.02--1.754.47#????!0.508.06-17.74
    8410 JPSeven Bank LtdJAPAN 3220.2827.2511.87--2.423.61#????!1.706.29-11.28

    International Comparables

    tickercompanycountryMarket Cap
    2019
    PE RATIO
    2019
    PE RATIO
    2020
    EV/EBITDA
    2019
    EV/EBITDA
    2020
    P/S
    2019
    DIVIDEND YIELD
    2019
    EBITDA Margin
    2019
    P/B
    2019
    ROE
    2019
    6 month return
    2019
    JPM USJPMorgan Chase & CoUNITED STATES 368989.9511.4310.72--3.222.98#????!1.5313.8611.60
    1398 HKIndustrial & Commercial Bank of China LtdCHINA 293494.155.725.36--2.525.28#????!0.7213.1711.52
    BAC USBank of America CorpUNITED STATES 289939.5210.529.56--3.132.28#????!1.1311.2615.22
    939 HKChina Construction Bank CorpCHINA 222114.195.525.21--2.225.46#????!0.7113.4111.92
    WFC USWells Fargo & CoUNITED STATES 214360.3710.139.12--2.553.89#????!1.1912.02-5.69
    1288 HKAgricultural Bank of China LtdCHINA 190412.315.044.71--2.016.02#????!0.6112.695.50
    HSBA LNHSBC Holdings PLCBRITAIN 173497.5911.9111.48--3.105.96#????!1.038.2813.20
    C USCitigroup IncUNITED STATES 160861.979.087.9715.3114.602.162.8533.490.859.588.53
    3988 HKBank of China LtdCHINA 160539.175.124.88--2.006.06#????!0.5711.4514.34
    3968 HKChina Merchants Bank Co LtdCHINA 127934.849.358.32--3.203.22#????!1.4616.3231.22
    RY CNRoyal Bank of CanadaCANADA 112095.9411.6510.93--3.323.86#????!2.0017.0210.28
    TD CNToronto-Dominion Bank/TheCANADA 101959.1711.0510.17--3.493.86#????!1.7015.822.67
    CBA AUCommonwealth Bank of AustraliaAUSTRALIA 93935.9614.4314.11--5.375.72#????!1.9414.2318.29
    HDFCB INHDFC Bank LtdINDIA 88702.8327.8422.69--4.80--4.1116.9721.48
    USB USUS BancorpUNITED STATES 82892.1612.0511.37--3.603.04#????!1.7114.323.45
    SAN SMBanco Santander SASPAIN 80903.488.638.18--1.455.07#????!0.738.2010.52
    ITUB4 BZItau Unibanco Holding SABRAZIL 77867.0611.5010.51--2.665.89#????!2.3520.700.74
    SBER LISberbank of Russia PJSCRUSSIA 76417.805.544.89--2.348.66#????!1.1522.2027.44
    SBER RMSberbank of Russia PJSCRUSSIA 74585.595.414.77--2.298.87#????!1.1222.2025.72
    BBDC3 BZBanco Bradesco SABRAZIL 68177.839.548.69--2.53-#????!1.7919.4918.76
    BBDC4 BZBanco Bradesco SABRAZIL 68177.8311.1010.11--2.533.57#????!2.0819.4920.45
    WBC AUWestpac Banking CorpAUSTRALIA 67260.5312.8011.95--4.396.80#????!1.4611.7111.42
    BNS CNBank of Nova Scotia/TheCANADA 66214.6010.079.36--2.904.79#????!1.3714.003.51
    3328 HKBank of Communications Co LtdCHINA 65691.415.635.32--1.895.46#????!0.6010.9517.21
    BNP FPBNP Paribas SAFRANCE 65049.108.057.45--1.366.44#????!0.607.62-2.49
    PNC USPNC Financial Services Group Inc/TheUNITED STATES 60676.4811.8111.04--3.433.06#????!1.2211.2614.08
    LLOY LNLloyds Banking Group PLCBRITAIN 57271.158.037.93--2.395.11#????!0.9812.8514.49
    ANZ AUAustralia & New Zealand Banking Group LtdAUSTRALIA 54596.4811.8011.47--4.125.90#????!1.2911.3613.85
    NAB AUNational Australia Bank LtdAUSTRALIA 50754.6711.6410.94--4.086.89#????!1.3412.008.94
    11 HKHang Seng Bank LtdHONG KONG 50156.4415.7314.95--8.993.99#????!2.3615.5610.51