Weekly Strategy

December 6, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-1.57
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-10.30
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-819.87
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation-0.38
countryAUSTRALIAEquity26.48
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-4.05
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.04
countryBRAZILEquity-0.34
countryBRAZILFixed Income-1457.69
countryCHINAEquity6750.61
countryCHINAFixed Income-0.78
countryINDIAEquity-42.01
countryINDIAFixed Income-2.63
countryISRAELEquity0.07
countryJAPANEquity82910.53
countryJAPANFixed Income1109.58
countryKOREAEquity2.79
countryPOLANDEquity2.56
countryRUSSIAEquity22.30
countryRUSSIAFixed Income1.83
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity-0.16
countrySPAINEquity4.73
CountryTAIWANEquity-0.90
countryTURKEYEquity-8.62
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity55.54
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-40.35
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity14.47
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-159.55
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity76.32
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-13.19
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity1.64
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-72.40
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.32
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-83.31
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity93.97
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-169.90
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity24.46
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity353.23
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income195.38
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity177.32
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income6.43
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-2.51
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity1.59
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income0.16
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-1118.90
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-93.89
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.08
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-35.84
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-830.67
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity6.08
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income0.03
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-2.39
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-74.87
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.13
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-109.10
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income174.30
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative3.53
RiskLONG SHORTEquity22079.82
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income3.89
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.00
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity0.24
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity-0.02
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity5.08
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity56.96
segmentBRICEquity9.64
segmentBRICFixed Income0.21
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-92.01
segmentEMEAEquity0.64
segmentEMEAFixed Income1.65
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-56.28
segmentGCCEquity-1.59
segmentGCCFixed Income0.00
segmentMENAEquity-1.24
segmentMENAFixed Income-0.58
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity2242.57
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.31
SizeMID-CAPEquity272.24
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity56.59

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed -56.3 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed 18.1 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -0.3 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed -1457.7 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 6750.6 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -0.8 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -42.0 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -2.6 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 2.8 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 22.3 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 1.8 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed -0.2 USD mn of outflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -8.6 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 14.5 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -159.5 USD mn of outflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 76.3 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.3 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -83.3 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 94.0 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -169.9 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed 3.5 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 22079.8 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 3.9 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) -15.11
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF13.91
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D9.46
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an8.21
Equity HSBC MSCI Russia Capped UCITS ETF $ is a5.02

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bear 3x Shares is an-11.55
Equity SEB Fund 2 - SEB Russia Fund is an FPC-6.27
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-5.74
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-5.71
Equity Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfonden is an open-end-3.55

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund is a non-diversified,99.99
Equity iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China99.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity99.99
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - China Opportunity74.69
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking56.55

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --40.54
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-34.24
Equity INVESCO PRC Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-31.41
Equity W.I.S.E. Yuanta/P-shares CSI 300 ETF is an-16.24

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.16

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.16
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,9.60
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS2.86
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity1.79
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant1.09
Equity KIM Investment Funds - Korea Navigator0.74

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-5.65
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-2.86
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-2.84
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an-1.03
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-0.34

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.54.36
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity41.07
Equity Kotak Funds - India Midcap Fund is a SICAV12.53
Equity Morgan Stanley Investment Funds - Indian10.91
Equity Edmond De Rothschild India is an open-end6.28

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Jupiter JGF - India Select is an open-end-41.50
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded-30.66
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-29.50
Equity iShares India 50 ETF is an exchange-traded-13.91
Equity Comgest Growth PLC - Comgest Growth India-13.87

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.33
Equity DJ TURKEY TITANS 20 THEAM EASY UCITS ETF-0.01
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.26
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-8.68

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-8.68
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.26
Equity DJ TURKEY TITANS 20 THEAM EASY UCITS ETF-0.01
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.33

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange7.34
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an2.46
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI BRAZIL is an exchange-traded1.52
Fixed Income DWS Brazil Bond Fund is an open-end investment0.92
Equity Nordea 1 SICAV - Brazilian Equity Fund0.73

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is-99.99
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-6.94
Equity BTG Pactual SICAV - Brazil Equity Plus-1.47
Equity Amundi Funds - Equity Brazil is a SICAV-0.99
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS-0.86

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is27.88
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV2.70
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia2.52
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia1.85
Equity NESTOR Australien Fonds is an open-end investment0.56

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,-4.69
Fixed Income-3.62
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-2.55
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-1.59
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring-0.50

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 December 6, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com