Weekly Strategy

December 20, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-6.90
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity47.59
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity561.51
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation-0.20
countryAUSTRALIAEquity61.25
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-1.65
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation0.54
countryBRAZILEquity29.93
countryBRAZILFixed Income-6.56
countryCHINAEquity5318.22
countryCHINAFixed Income-80.12
countryINDIAEquity-53.98
countryINDIAFixed Income-16.77
countryISRAELEquity-1.53
countryJAPANEquity107025.24
countryJAPANFixed Income767.69
countryKOREAEquity15.60
countryPOLANDEquity0.40
countryRUSSIAEquity25.67
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-2.16
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity1.06
countrySPAINEquity27.46
CountryTAIWANEquity8.15
countryTURKEYEquity-8.78
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity2.40
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity31.12
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity28.53
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-20.67
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity47.21
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity872.52
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-6.07
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-147.50
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative0.32
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity1137.84
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity457.68
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-163.71
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-9.36
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity22.30
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-86.00
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-148.31
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-147.35
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-0.47
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity32.55
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-0.90
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity1672.81
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-661.52
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation-0.08
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-25.44
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income21.66
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity1.12
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income-1.74
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity13.42
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-169.40
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.30
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income347.57
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income-151.16
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-14.04
RiskLONG SHORTEquity10603.23
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income1.78
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.00
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-22.17
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.00
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity93.44
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity25.05
segmentBRICEquity-14.08
segmentBRICFixed Income0.22
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity219.37
segmentEMEAEquity-0.23
segmentEMEAFixed Income1.20
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity638.90
segmentGCCEquity0.04
segmentGCCFixed Income0.00
segmentGCCMixed Allocation0.01
segmentMENAEquity-2.98
segmentMENAFixed Income-1.55
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity10443.76
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.16
SizeMID-CAPEquity-299.46
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity-44.48

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed 638.9 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 5.9 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed 29.9 USD mn of inflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed -6.6 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 5318.2 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -80.1 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -54.0 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -16.8 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 15.6 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 25.7 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed -2.2 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 1.1 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -8.8 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 28.5 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -20.7 USD mn of outflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 47.2 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed 0.3 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 1137.8 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 457.7 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -163.7 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -14.0 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 10603.2 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 1.8 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity18.44
Equity East Capital Lux - Russian Fund is an open-end17.64
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF9.97
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an9.75
Equity Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfonden is an open-end9.62

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-19.82
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) --19.37
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-19.34
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-8.30
Fixed Income DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"-2.13

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund is a non-diversified,99.99
Equity iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China99.99
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking51.85
Equity db x-trackers CSI300 Index UCITS ETF is a43.14
Equity db x-trackers CSI300 Index UCITS ETF is an30.16

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --79.48
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-78.52
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-62.31
Equity First State Global Umbrella PLC - China-32.33
Equity Robeco Chinese Equities is an open-end investment-27.35

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange1.06
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange1.06

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,10.14
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an2.56
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end1.82
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS1.33
Equity Amundi Funds - Equity Korea is a SICAV1.13

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an-1.86
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-0.83
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-0.72
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-0.28
Equity Parvest Equity South Korea is an open-end-0.20

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.57.64
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity35.47
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity12.74
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant10.56
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio8.43

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-59.79
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-53.53
Equity Jupiter JGF - India Select is an open-end-29.22
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded-17.75
Fixed Income K Debt Opportunities Fund Ltd is an open-end-13.60

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.04
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,0.03
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-8.85

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-8.85
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,0.03
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.04

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an19.71
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange16.56
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI BRAZIL is an exchange-traded1.42
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS0.78
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded0.74

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income DWS Brazil Bond Fund is an open-end investment-5.96
Equity ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short-1.96
Equity Fonditalia - Equity Brazil (F33) is an-1.88
Equity Fonditalia - Equity Brazil (F33) is an-1.87
Equity Deutsche Invest I Brazilian Equities is an-1.12

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is52.28
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV5.64
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV5.44
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia4.09
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)2.15

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-8.08
Fixed Income-0.95
Fixed Income Daiwa Bond Fund Series - Monthly Dividend-0.69
Equity OneAnswer Single-Asset Class - Australian-0.66
Equity The UBS (Irl) ETF plc - MSCI Australia 100%-0.43

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 December 20, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com