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Midlincoln Research/Midlincoln BigData/www.midlincoln.com 


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Press mentions highlights

Low ruble rates press on ruble
Would CBR increase the rate, pressure on ruble would be less
It Invest will tell about markets in video
Ovanes Oganisian is the initial guest of the IT Invest TV will talk about oil price
Russia Is Ready to Rein In the Ratings Agencies
The worst thing that could happen for a bank in this situation is for their credit rating to be downgraded below investment grade, effectively cutting off their access to financing,” says Ovanes Oganisyan, an analyst at the MidLincoln Research investment strategy consulting firm in Moscow.
Couple of points on Alibaba IPO.
Alibaba rings a bell as biggest IPO is a service company and comes from a country which used to be world's workshop
Rosja drży przed unijnymi sankcjami gospodarczymi
Od dziś wchodzą w życie pierwsze sankcje Unii Europejskiej, wymierzone w całe sektory rosyjskiej gospodarki. Unia zdecydowała się na ten krok, by powstrzymać Moskwę od wspierania prorosyjskich rebeliantów na Ukrainie.
MSCI Launched ex-Russia Indexes. Signaled it will remove VTB (probably its largerst client in Russia)
Как отметил стратег Midlincoln Research Ованес Оганесян, это стандартная процедура при корпоративном действии, однако санкции могут сделать ее не совсем обычной. Кроме того, он отметил, что если бы не было корпоративного действия, то, возможно, MSCI и не проводила бы никаких консультаций
Sanctiones Will Negatively Affect Russian Economy
Russia is much more succeptible in financial sector than in the oil and gas sector
New Sanctions Will Affect Liquidity:
Bloomberg Interviewed Ovanes Oganisian on sanctiones
Russia may be moved to FM markets Category
Russian market moves closer to resemble market in Kazakhstan where infrustructure is great but liquidity is poor and market is heavily concenrated in just a few names
Ukraine Election Brings Market Triumph for Bonds: Russia Credit
Poroshenko's election victory is "quite positive for the Ukrainian investment case," according to Ovanes Oganisyan, a strategist at MidLincoln Research in Moscow. "In Russian bonds there was a move already, but Russia will also be in a much better spot. There is reason to be slightly more optimistic."
MSCI May Rebalancing Preview
According O.Oganesyan, Russia's weight in the index MSCI EM may be even lower - 4.7%. "As the Russian economy as a whole, the stock market there are structural problems. Large companies set too high a bar for inclusion in the index of other Russian companies, so many issuers officials simply have no chance to get into the base for the calculation of indices MSCI.
Wall Street investment bank's dilemma: stay away from or close to Russia?
Moscow Midlincoln Institute strategist Ovanes Oganisian on Bloomberg told reporters that "at the moment this time, only Putin's most loyal partner in the St. Petersburg forum will show up, they will pretend to Ukraine incident behind, but the truth is Russia's position in the emerging markets already are not as important. "
Deposit Insurance Fund gets additional 2 bn$ for Crimea
Furthermore, according to Midlincoln Research Ovanes Oganisian, whats coming to a fund is a way to recapitalise the fund in the environment of higher revoking licensing frequency rates.
Wall Street Ties to Putin Threatened as Sanctions Bite

Ukraine Crisis Nets Billions of Dollars for Kremlin

Moscow Bourse Weight Upped in MSCI 10/40

Upcoming MSCI 10-40 rebalancing

Russia Stocks Climb as Norilsk to Rosneft Gain on Ruble Weakness

Ulyukaev wants to speed up privatisation


Russian Central Bank is up for reorganisation of regional structure.

Masterbank mess could help Sberbank to get hold of


Retailer Metro is moving closer to Moscow Exchange

Boeing 737 Crashes in Russian City of Kazan, Killing 50

Russian oil and gas sector, avoiding toilet paper shortage

My favorite research piece

Is Russia on the Path of Becoming a Frontier Market?

Contact Sport of Russian M&A

Looking for the Center of Financial Mass

Russia's Economic Epic

Trends for 2012 and 2013 | The Moscow Times

Pussy Riot Verdict, What will the market say?

Privatization of the Pension System Delayed

Trends on the Russian M&A Market: Theory vs. Practice

A Pre-election Buy-Back

Will Fast Russian Companies Ever Emerge?

New IPOs Get Squeezed by the Size of Gazprom

History of Russia's IPOs as Reflected in the MSCI Russia Index

AvtoVAZ — an Ongoing Problem

The Last Convergence Attempt – State Firms Must Focus on Profit and Dividends

Small Business Vanishes

The Future Landscape of the Russian Stock Marke

Boosting Russia's Export Trade

Alchemists Sought Philosopher's Stone, Investors Prefer Gas

Microsoft Product Support Services

Recent Research

Putin and Oligarchs Seating Plan Diagram
Putin and Oligarchs in a meeting late on Friday...the seating plan Earlier today we sent a diagram of a seating plan of oligarch in a meeting with Vladimir Putin. No doubt that is a great initiative, especially given that Putin was seating almos

Key Country News Russia ./Canada imposes new sanctions against Russia: Prime Minister/.../Here Are All The Major Crises Russia Has Seen Over The Last .../.../Western Firms Slash Russia Investment Over Ruble Fall/.../Russia Doesn't Need Luck, Just B
This report is embargoed until 2014-12-23 and requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.

Emerging market equity outflow is slightly less total 764$mn last week flowed from GEM funds ending Friday. Frontier market funds posted 37mn$ of outflows. Brazil equity funds showed quite large outflow of 203mn$, China funds showed outflow of 1
This report is embargoed until 2014-12-26 and requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.

Bond yields are wider across the GEM universe The worst performers are Venezuela, Russia and Ukraine, while the least affected are Malaysia and Paraguay Changes are between c. Dec 19 and Nov PETROLEOS DE VENEZUELA SA 17 Yields c60.94% up 30
This report is embargoed until 2014-12-23 and requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.

ML Notes From MidWest - Prosecution asked 10 years for Navalny
Prosecution asked 10 years for Navalny The verdict is due on January 15 for Russian key oppositioner Alexey Navalny. Prosecution asked for 10 year prison term for him and for 9 year term for his brother. Alexey is accused of scamming perfume maker

MidLincoln GEMs Model Portfolio Update
Performance update since inception of Feb 3 Overall since inception we maintain our outperformance of MSCI GEM Index - up 22.2% since Feb 3 vs. GEM benchmark which declined 1.9% during the period since Feb 2. We have done especially well in relat

MidLincoln Bigdata Industry/Sectors Overview
On a separate note, please, check out the promo to the MidLincoln Monthly Strategy Document we issued on Monday... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bg3TEDTIvo8 Key Industry News Communications Page .. Infographic: The Rise Of 'Generati

MidLincoln Research Aggregates for Funds
Emerging market equity outflow is increasing outflow total 994$mn last week ending Friday. Frontier market funds posted 66mn$ of outflows. Brazil equity funds showed quite large outflow of 158mn$, China funds showed outflow of 1.9bn$, India outf

i Forgive you All My Ruble Debts
There are 5 reasons why Rub is weak Oil price fall Low ruble rates unmatch ruble risk Ukraine conflict and expectations of escalations e.g. Russians will not give up Ukraine to the west. Upset oligarch is short So i listed 4

Our Stance We are publishing our third issue of GEM monthly series. Its a document which highlights tactical stance for key emerging markets into the year end, which is still positive for the countries like Turkey, India, China and South Korea. It
This report is embargoed until 2014-12-30 and requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.

MidLincoln Bigdata Weekly Econ/Politics Dec 15
Key Country News Russia Father Of Web Debunks Russian President's Myth About The Internet/.../Russia's Prime Minister Urges Faith in Ruble, Criticizes West/.../Here's What Will Happen If Russia's Economy Keeps Tanking/.../Russia's Surgut, Rosneft e

MidLincoln Equity Gems Portfolio Rebalancing Dec 11
Its time to rebalance our equity long/shrot portfolio. Positions in 6 out of 7 countries which we focus on were affected in this rebalancing. Turkey positions were left unchanged as well as Russian longs which were not affected. Performance update

Midlincoln Research Frontier Economics and Politics Update Dec 11
Lebanon France, Russia, support consensus president: report/.../Lebanon Needs International Military Aid to Combat IS: Lebanese PM/.../Economic development board ponders project diversity/.../Interview with Abdul Ghani Ramadan: Green Network C�

ML Notes from Midwest. Higher Rates Would Have Curbed RUB Volatility But Now Its too Late to Tighten Here.
FX consensus trades are not rare they come up once every year. So was short Cable (GBP) in 1992, long DEM prior to 2000 and then long euro trade of 2002-2008, long dollar trade 2008-now or long yen in 2011-2012. So was short ruble trade in 2013, 201

MidLincoln Bigdata Industry/Sectors Overview Dec 9
Key Industry News Communications Page .. Five Stumbling Blocks to Mass Adoption of Internet TV Fox Launching Vice Films as Joint Venture/---/Emerging Markets Media Content Weak telecom spending, emerging markets weigh on Cisco forecast Ma

Midlincoln Research CIS Economics and Politics Update
Georgia Georgian president, German FM mull issues of security in region/.../Georgia hopes Prime Minister Garibashvili to visit Ukraine soon/.../Economic Development/.../Georgia exports set new record in 2013/.. Armenia Armenian FM meets

MidLincoln Weekly Econ/Politics Dec 8
Russia Putin 'sabotaging next-door states': Merkel accuses Russian .../.../Vladmir Putin compares the West with Adolf Hitler as prime minister .../.../Navigating Russia's imploding economy/.../World Bank lowers forecast for Russia/.../Vladimir Putin

Fund Flow Aggregates
Emerging market equity outflow is increasing down 202$mn last week ending Friday. Frontier market funds posted 11mn$ of outflows. Brazil equity funds showed quite large outflow of 1.8bn$, China funds showed outflow of 1.8bn$, India outflow was m

November - 2014 Russian Market Review
Russia RTSI$:IND Index lost -10.74% last month. To finish the month at 974.27 MSCI Russia Index lost -10.89% last month. Its overall down -32.34% since the beginning of the year. At the same time MSCI Emerging Markets Index is down -1.12% l

MidLincoln GEMs Model Portfolio Update
Performance update since inception of Feb 3 Overall since inception as well as since rebalancing in October we maintain our outperformance of MSCI GEM Index - up 20.3% since Feb 3 vs. GEM benchmark +6.1% during

MidLincoln Research Bigdata Industry/Sectors Overview Dec 3
Last Week Movers News Key Industry News CommunicationsPage ... David Drake, Chairman of The Soho Loft Media Group, to Be ... Were you at Twitter's #ToastAndTweet party?/---/Emerging Markets Media Content Device manufacturers and mindboggling

MidLincoln Research Big Data Aggregates for Funds Dec 2
Fund flow info is mixed. GEM equity flows were negative last week again down another 54mn$. Frontier funds showed small inflow of 2.9mn$ Brazil equity funds showed outflow of 83mn$, China funds showed inflow of 411mn$. India showed inflows of 23m

MidLincoln Bigdata Econ/Politics Weekly - Oil price fall provides cushion for importers. Importers could use the opportunity and execute a round of rate cuts.
Oil price fall provides cushion for importers. Importers could use the opportunity and execute a round of rate cuts. Russia What's Behind Vladimir Putin's Close Relationship With an Orthodox .../.../Norway Suspends Political Contact With Russia,

MidLincoln Bigdata GEMs Fixed Income Queries and Stance Weekly
Some GEM Fixed Income Queries and Stats Country Average Yield Venezuela 21.49 Ukraine 14.12 Russian Federation 6.09 Dominican Republic 5.58 Gabon 5.74 Kazakhstan 5.16 Azerbaijan 4.77 Brazil 4.06 Paraguay 5.74 Vietnam 4.06 Pak

MidLincoln Bigdata Emerging Markets Charts and Datamine Nov 27
Copper Price Bottomed True Gold Currency Devil's Excrements Nickel Metal Price is attractive Aluminum price has is nice Steel price has recovered nicely Recent USD strength did not affect wheat price negatively Pork prices are on

MidLincoln GEMs Model Portfolio Update
Performance update since inception of Feb 3 Overall since inception as well as since rebalancing in October we maintain our outperformance of MSCI GEM Index - up 17.8% since Feb 3 vs. GEM benchmark +8.8% during the period. We have done especially

MidLincoln Bigdata Industry/Sectors Overview
Key Industry News Communications Page .. How content providers can sink piracy in emerging markets #OutofOffice is where great brands are built/---/Emerging Markets Media Content Weak telecom spending, emerging markets weigh on Cisco forecast

MidLincoln Bigdata Weekly Econ/Politics Nov 24 2014
Key Country News Russia Vladimir Putin says he won't be Russia's president for life/.../HARDtalk - Mikhail Kasyanov, former Prime Minister of Russia/.../Russia's Slump Forces Belarus to Slash Economic Growth Forecast/.../Ex-finance minister warns

Midlincoln Research and Bigdata Aggregates for funds
Fund flow info is mixed. GEM equity inflows were negative last week -27mn$ following a month of modest inflows. Frontier funds showed small inflow of 2mn$ Brazil equity funds showed inflow of 57mn$, China funds showed outflow. India showed inflows o

Midlincoln Research Frontier Economics Politics Update
Midlincoln Research Frontier Econ Update Lebanon Hariri: Vacuum an insult to Lebanon's independence/.../VP receives Lebanese prime minister/.../Minister: Syrian conflict to cap Lebanon's growth at 2-2.5 pct in 2015/.../AlexBank: Becoming the b

Videos and Promos

Preview of December GEM Strategy Publications

Preview of November GEM Strategy Publications


  • For 2015-01-05 2498:TTHTC 4Q results are likely to be weak
    or view this idea in Chinese
  • CRABSTICKS Group of Countries


  • Ex Finance Minister Kudrin Offers Gloomy Prediction for Russia
  • Here Are All The Major Crises Russia Has Seen Over The Last ...
  • Western Firms Slash Russia Investment
  • Russia Doesn't Need Luck, Just Better Policy
  • Why Russia should ally with China and India on carbon rules
  • Ruble Advances for Second Day on Bets Exporters Selling Revenue
  • Russia entering 'full-fledged economic crisis', says ex-minister ...


  • Ling Jihua: China investigates top aide to former president
  • CEEC prime ministers want cooperation with China
  • China revises up size of 2013 economy, sees no effect on 2014 growth
  • China: Five Themes For 2015
  • How to invest in China
  • China's Exports Growth Slows To 4.7% In November
  • Realising China's sustainable growth rate

  • South Africa

  • South African, Ugandan and Tanzanian presidents meet to discuss ...
  • President Zuma Congratulates Prime Minister-Elect of Mauritius
  • http://www.wsj.com/articles/south-africas-economic-growth ...
  • Investors bet on the world's newest middle class
  • Less than 1% of South Africa's population are organ donors
  • Op-Ed: The Minimum Wage Debate - the old cheap labour system ...
  • 'SA needs to stabilise debt'
  • Safe Debt and Uncertainty in Emerging Markets: An Application to ...


  • Sanctions On North Korea? President Obama and Republicans ...
  • South Korean Prime Minister approves funding for new ...
  • South Korea cuts economic growth forecast on weak consumer and ...
  • Bank of Korea Mulls Cutting Growth Forecast as Headwinds Build
  • Cubans Primed For Internet Update After Years Of Trying To Stay ...
  • Korea's exports to China face minus growth
  • On the front line of Korea's campaign for energy security
  • Hyundai Group raises more than 3 tln won via self-rescue plan


  • India not showing any willingness to resolve marines case: Italian ...
  • Report: India weighs dropping support for Palestinians at UN in ...
  • Modi-Rajan-Commodities trinity keeping India a favourite: Citi
  • Anchor Capital Investments Ltd. Makes First India Investment ...
  • For Indian IT, good times continue to roll
  • India tables 'biggest tax reform' since independence
  • Sustainability and finance aren't at odds, Capital must be channelled ...


  • Turkey's President Erdogan Decries Birth Control As Form Of Treason
  • Turkey's prime minister accuses European Union of 'dirty campaign ...
  • Turkey's economy: no more boom time
  • Improved outlook for Turkey's economy; Fitch
  • Turkey's President Erdogan Decries Birth Control As Form Of Treason
  • Turkey's exports decrease 6.4 percent in November
  • Turkey's budget deficit narrows to $4.9 bn for 11 months
  • Comment: Foreign capital could be the answer to Turkey's debt woes


  • Brazil's president to shake up Petrobras but keep CEO
  • Netanyahu recieves hefty US funding. (Photo: Amos Ben Gershom ...
  • Economists Again Cut Brazil Economic Growth Outlook
  • Carrefour to Boost Brazil Investment After Stake Sale to Diniz
  • Around the world, people living near water don't have enough water
  • Will Rousseff 2.0 Spark a Recovery in Brazil?
  • Brazil's budget law: wiping the slate clean?
  • Levy Vows to Reduce Weight of Brazil Debt Without Saying How


  • President's personal appeal to Palau tourism industry
  • Australia deserves better than a part-time Defence Minister
  • Australia's economic growth slower than expected
  • Australia's investment growth beats forecast
  • Exodus from NSW at a 30-year low
  • iron ore tipped to average $US63 a tonne next year
  • Without revenue, Australia can only have half a budget debate
  • Goldman Asset Sees Zero Aussie-U.S. Yield Gap


  • Warner Music Canada President Steve Kane on His Hall of Fame ...
  • David Moscrop: Long tenures for prime ministers are nothing to cheer
  • Canadians see cheap oil hurting economy as confidence drops
  • The US Needs a Free-Trade Deal With China
  • National News: Canada's Population Grows To 35675800
  • SOMALIA: Federalist paper number one: Action Plan For The Somali ...
  • Canada's Budget Deficit Widens on Tax-Relief Measures
  • Oil falls again, food prices rise & Canada's debt bubble: BUSINESS ...
  • Lincoln is the Capital of


    Did you know?

    1.In Nebraska they eat cinnamon rolls with chilli!

    Only People From Nebraska Understand

    Source: Jillian Hall via www.jillianmaryhall.com

    Don’t bother serving chili unless it includes a side of cinnamon rolls. There’s nothing like a bite of savory spiciness followed by a nibble of homey sweetness.

    Nebraskans who have grown up with this amazing combo are always floored when people from elsewhere have never heard of it. Don’t knock it either–once you try it you’ll wonder how you didn’t think of it before.

    2. Aksarben Isn’t A Nonsense Word

    Only People From Nebraska Understand

    Source: Ak-sar-ben River City Rodeo and Stock Show via Facebook

    For those not from the place where The Good Life abounds, Aksarben is Nebraska spelled backwards.

    Once a gloried race track in Omaha, it’s used in everything from names of businesses to shopping centers to a rodeo and stock show. It’s most prevalent in Omaha, but you’ll still see it other places in the state.

    Yeah, it may seem a little silly, but it’s better than Amohalko or Aigroeg, right?

    3. Dorothy Lynch Is More Than Just Dressing

    Only People From Nebraska Understand

    Source: www.dorothylynch.com

    You’ll know this native condiment of Nebraska by its bright orange hue and big flecks of black pepper throughout. Manufactured in Duncan (population 351), this thick, sweet dressing is a little bit spicy and boasts a homemade taste.

    It’s used in home-cooked recipes galore, from marinades to side dishes. Ex-Nebraskans are known to have it shipped to the coasts to satisfy that craving for a taste of home.

    4. Nebraskans Don’t Measure In Miles, They Measure In Time

    Only People From Nebraska Understand

    Source: Flickr user Kathleen Waters Photography

    Nebraska features a large expanse of interstate and highway roads, but locals don’t measure in miles.

    If you ask a Nebraskan how far it is from Lincoln to Grand Island, you probably won’t get the answer “100 miles.” You’re way more likely to hear, “Oh, about an hour and a half.”

    With long stretches of road ahead and few cities to slow you down, time is the best way to measure a trip.

    5. O’Neill Is The ONLY Place To Celebrate St. Patrick’s Day

    Only People From Nebraska Understand

    Source: O’Neill Nebraska Chamber of Commerce via Facebook

    This “Irish Capital of Nebraska” is the only place to go for St. Patrick’s Day. Located in the proverbial middle-of-nowhere in the northern part of the state, O’Neill goes all out for the holiday.

    The town explodes with Irish dancers, food and, of course, drinking. Locals paint a shamrock on Main Street and head down to paint the famous “Green Horse from O’Neill” for the parade the Friday before.

    If you stop by the Good Timin’ bar you’ll be treated to a gallon milk jug full of green keg beer for around $4. It’s a down-home party only Nebraskans could throw.

    6. Every Small Town Has A Rival

    Only People From Nebraska Understand

    Source: Flickr user The People’s Tribune

    If you live in Central City, you hate Aurora and you can’t wait to beat the pants off them come football season. The same goes for Cozad and Gothenburg.

    Even though the only difference outsiders notice is that one town probably has a drive-in called Dairy Cream while the other has one called Dairy King, the natives will quickly expound on the differences in each community and why theirs is superior.

    7. Husker Game Day Is A Hallowed Event

    Only People From Nebraska Understand

    Source: Flickr user Dave Williss

    Pretty much everything in Nebraska comes to a halt on Saturdays during football season. Memorial Stadium becomes the third largest city in Nebraska, and every television is set to the same channel.

    Weddings, festivals and birthday parties are planned with Cornhusker games in mind. Don’t try to have a garage sale or any other kind of event on game day–it’s just not happening.

    8. Nebraskans Have Perfected The Art Of The Road Trip

    Only People From Nebraska Understand

    Source: Flickr user shannonpatrick17

    Nebraska may be known as flyover country, but get out on the open road and there’s plenty to find–from the picturesque and beautiful sandhills up North to the banks of the Platte River.

    The locals know which small towns boast the best cafes, where to find the perfect antique market and which small-town festivals shouldn’t be missed. With plenty of highways and backroads, you never know what you’ll run into on the plains of Nebraska.

    9. Arbor Lodge State Historical Park Is More Beautiful Than Any Other Place On Earth

    Only People From Nebraska Understand

    Source: Arbor Lodge State Historical Park via Facebook

    Home of Arbor Day, Arbor Lodge is a popular destination for weddings and weekend getaways. One look and you can see why. The beautiful trees, breathtaking rose garden and stately Lodge are certain to rival any other destination in terms of aesthetic appeal.

    Located near Nebraska City, autumn is definitely the best time to visit. Fall colors, leaves and apples abound, making it the place Nebraskans flock to for a charming local getaway.

    10. It May Be 70 Degrees Today, But It’s Snowing Tomorrow

    Only People From Nebraska Understand

    Source: Flickr user shannonpatrick17

    You’ve heard the old adage ”If you don’t like the weather wait five minutes,” but in Nebraska it holds true.

    It’s not out of the ordinary to go from wearing a parka to shorts in the same day. There are legitimately consecutive days with temperature differences of 70 degrees. Nebraskans are so used to it they plan outdoor events in advance anyway–now that’s hardcore.

      Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com