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Russia protests: What they could mean for Putin
Some analysts argued that Putin might even gain support following the murder. Amid worries about an anti-Russia conspiracy, Putin could be seen "a consolidating, center political figure and an adequate compromise for both left and right," Ovanes Oganisyan, a strategist at MidLincoln Research, wrote in a research note.
February MSCI Rebalancing Watch Magnit vs. Norilsk
No Changes expected.. But 10-40 index might see the switch between Magnit and Norilsk
Les banques russes craignent d’être exclues du système financier
L’autre risque concerne une baisse supplémentaire des cours du pétrole, qui «pourrait conduire à une panique bancaire», selon l’expert financier Ovanes Oganisian, stratège chez Midlincoln.
Выходцы из Goldman и Ренкапа запускают хедж-фонд
Бывший кредитный аналитик Goldman Sachs Group Inc Павел Мамай и бывший трейдер «Ренессанс капитал» Антон Завьялов запускают хедж-фонд на $130 миллионов для скупки активов, подешевевших на фоне ухудшения экономической ситуации ....по данным MidLincoln Research, 22-26 декабря впервые за шесть недель получили приток средств в $177,7 миллионов. Из них на Россию, в которую деньги поступали уже вторую неделю подряд, пришлось $10 миллионов.
Police detain Kremlin critic Navalny at rally
Ovanes Oganisyan, a strategist at investment consultancy firm MidLincoln Research, said that protests are were still likely – despite the suspended sentence. Navalny is also expected to be very “energetic and aggressive” in pursuing freedom for his brother.
Russia vows to challenge $50bn Yukos ruling
"Unfortunately it looks like nationalisation of Yukos went in favor of Putin’s state oligarchs who were primary beneficiaries of the whole process," write analysts at Midlincoln Research. "While now the taxpayers are supposed to pay the state debt associated with Yukos."
Low ruble rates press on ruble
Would CBR increase the rate, pressure on ruble would be less
It Invest will tell about markets in video
Ovanes Oganisian is the initial guest of the IT Invest TV will talk about oil price
Russia Is Ready to Rein In the Ratings Agencies
The worst thing that could happen for a bank in this situation is for their credit rating to be downgraded below investment grade, effectively cutting off their access to financing,” says Ovanes Oganisyan, an analyst at the MidLincoln Research investment strategy consulting firm in Moscow.
Couple of points on Alibaba IPO.
Alibaba rings a bell as biggest IPO is a service company and comes from a country which used to be world's workshop
Rosja drży przed unijnymi sankcjami gospodarczymi
Od dziś wchodzą w życie pierwsze sankcje Unii Europejskiej, wymierzone w całe sektory rosyjskiej gospodarki. Unia zdecydowała się na ten krok, by powstrzymać Moskwę od wspierania prorosyjskich rebeliantów na Ukrainie.
MSCI Launched ex-Russia Indexes. Signaled it will remove VTB (probably its largerst client in Russia)
Как отметил стратег Midlincoln Research Ованес Оганесян, это стандартная процедура при корпоративном действии, однако санкции могут сделать ее не совсем обычной. Кроме того, он отметил, что если бы не было корпоративного действия, то, возможно, MSCI и не проводила бы никаких консультаций
Sanctiones Will Negatively Affect Russian Economy
Russia is much more succeptible in financial sector than in the oil and gas sector
New Sanctions Will Affect Liquidity:
Bloomberg Interviewed Ovanes Oganisian on sanctiones
Russia may be moved to FM markets Category
Russian market moves closer to resemble market in Kazakhstan where infrustructure is great but liquidity is poor and market is heavily concenrated in just a few names
Ukraine Election Brings Market Triumph for Bonds: Russia Credit
Poroshenko's election victory is "quite positive for the Ukrainian investment case," according to Ovanes Oganisyan, a strategist at MidLincoln Research in Moscow. "In Russian bonds there was a move already, but Russia will also be in a much better spot. There is reason to be slightly more optimistic."
MSCI May Rebalancing Preview
According O.Oganesyan, Russia's weight in the index MSCI EM may be even lower - 4.7%. "As the Russian economy as a whole, the stock market there are structural problems. Large companies set too high a bar for inclusion in the index of other Russian companies, so many issuers officials simply have no chance to get into the base for the calculation of indices MSCI.
Wall Street investment bank's dilemma: stay away from or close to Russia?
Moscow Midlincoln Institute strategist Ovanes Oganisian on Bloomberg told reporters that "at the moment this time, only Putin's most loyal partner in the St. Petersburg forum will show up, they will pretend to Ukraine incident behind, but the truth is Russia's position in the emerging markets already are not as important. "
Deposit Insurance Fund gets additional 2 bn$ for Crimea
Furthermore, according to Midlincoln Research Ovanes Oganisian, whats coming to a fund is a way to recapitalise the fund in the environment of higher revoking licensing frequency rates.
Wall Street Ties to Putin Threatened as Sanctions Bite

Ukraine Crisis Nets Billions of Dollars for Kremlin

Moscow Bourse Weight Upped in MSCI 10/40

Upcoming MSCI 10-40 rebalancing

Russia Stocks Climb as Norilsk to Rosneft Gain on Ruble Weakness

Ulyukaev wants to speed up privatisation

俄股市70%自由流通股为外国人持有

Russian Central Bank is up for reorganisation of regional structure.

Masterbank mess could help Sberbank to get hold of

infrastructure

Retailer Metro is moving closer to Moscow Exchange

Boeing 737 Crashes in Russian City of Kazan, Killing 50

Russian oil and gas sector, avoiding toilet paper shortage

My favorite research piece

Is Russia on the Path of Becoming a Frontier Market?

Contact Sport of Russian M&A

Looking for the Center of Financial Mass



Russia's Economic Epic

Trends for 2012 and 2013 | The Moscow Times

Pussy Riot Verdict, What will the market say?

Privatization of the Pension System Delayed

Trends on the Russian M&A Market: Theory vs. Practice

A Pre-election Buy-Back

Will Fast Russian Companies Ever Emerge?

New IPOs Get Squeezed by the Size of Gazprom

History of Russia's IPOs as Reflected in the MSCI Russia Index

AvtoVAZ — an Ongoing Problem

The Last Convergence Attempt – State Firms Must Focus on Profit and Dividends

Small Business Vanishes



The Future Landscape of the Russian Stock Marke

Boosting Russia's Export Trade

Alchemists Sought Philosopher's Stone, Investors Prefer Gas

Recent Research

2015-03-04
Russia BigData February Performance Review
Russia Last Month Review Russia RTSI$:IND Index gained 21.60% last month. To finish the month at 896.63 MSCI Russia Index gained 22.82% last month. Its overall up 21.87% since the beginning of the year. At the same time MSCI Emerging M

2015-03-04
ML Morning Meeting March 4
Russian stock are continuing strongly since the start of the week. China lags. In the news today Australia GDP, Brazil and Poland central bank rates as well as Tinkoff astonishing results. News Russia What House of Cards gets wrong about Russi

2015-03-04
MidLincoln CIS Econ Update Feb 4
Georgia Georgia's President joins European leaders in Kiev 'March of Dignity'/.../White House could determine Netanyahu's fate/.../Georgia records 0.5 pct economic growth in January/... Armenia Turkish president fined for 'insulting' Arm

2015-03-03
ML Morning Meeting March 3
Week starts with Russian and the US stocks outperforming the rest. Brazil lags.

2015-03-03
MidLincoln GEMs Model Portfolio Update Mar 3
Since last rebalancing on 2015-02-16 Countries where we have done well in relative terms include South Africa, Turkey, While countries where we have done poorly in relative terms include Brazil, China, India, Russia, Korea, Countries where we
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2015-03-03
MidLincoln Bigdata Industry/Sectors Overview
Last Week Movers/News/ Total Sector Valuation/ Cum Rev Growth By Sector Communications Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Materials Technology Utilities Key Industry News Communications P

2015-03-02
Free Preview: MidLincoln Fund Flows
Emerging markets fund flow showed 564.8 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 209.5 USD mn of inflows. BRAZIL Equity funds showed -21.8 USD mn of outflow. BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 0.7 USD mn of inflow. CHINA Equity fu

2015-03-02
MidLincoln Weekly Econ/Politics March 2
Russia Boris Nemtsov, Vocal Critic of Russian President Vladimir Putin .../.../Russia opposition politician Boris Nemtsov shot dead/.../Armenia's Economic Growth Slows Amid Russian Slump/.../Market Reacts as Russia Cut to Junk/.../Vladimir Puti
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2015-03-01
Notes from Midwest - Putin emerges as a consolidating figure a day after Nemtsov murder
A day after Boris Nemtsov was killed Vladimir Putin has started to benefit from Nemtsov killing. Russian president is now highlighted by many as a consolidating, center political figure and an adequate compromise for both left and right. To the le

2015-02-28
Russian opposition is losing men.
Russian opposition is losing men. Few commentators said that the murder is a provocation. However we do not think that Nemtsov murder is a provocation. Provocateurs needed to risk to kill Nemtsov in the location which could have been watched by top

2015-02-27
ML Morning Meeting Feb 27
In the news its Poland GDP as well as US GDP and bunch of results from Gazpromneft, Novatek, KOC and CSN Brazil under pressure - Petrobras downgrade by Moody�s and Vale reported disappointing set of numbers. Yet we start favoring Brazil. One can

2015-02-27
MidLincoln Commodities Weekly
OIL Brent Brent crude up 5 percent as Saudi sees improved demand for oil Oil falls 2 percent on glut worries; heating oil up on tight supply Drop in US oil rigs leading to Brent price spike: Platts Global Oil Price Yardsticks Tell Different S
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2015-02-27
Free Preview: MidLincoln Emerging Markets Chart Art
Wage Price Index showed that the rate of wages growth in Australia has slowed to a record low of 2.5%. That�s bad news for workers used to higher increases over the past two decades. India Can Not Go UP Forever - time to sell Indian stocks?

2015-02-26
New: ML Morning Meeting
We launch our new Morning Meeting daily publication - summarising key events for markets/instruments for the countries on our list.. BRICST+Frontier.. etc.. Its an extension of our weekly publication with a daily chart, key news, econ calendar an

2015-02-26
MidLincoln Emerging Markets Datamine
Some Useful Data Queries GEM Worst performers 52 wks (Oi SA,Tinkoff CS,Bumi Resources Tbk PT,Sistema JSFC,TMK OAO,CAP SA,Assore Ltd,Usinas Siderurgicas de Minas Gerais SA,Mail.RU,Yandex) Change in earnings estimates (Severstal OAO,Rusal,Siste
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2015-02-25
Free Preview: Midlincoln Research Frontier Econ Update
Lebanon Future bloc calls for consensus to end presidential vacuum/.../Rafik Hariri: Lebanon mourns former prime minister a decade after .../.../UPDATE 2-Lebanon's growth expected at 2.5 pct for 2015 after .../.../The largest and oldes

2015-02-25
MidLincoln GEMs Fixed Income Queries and Stance Weekly
Ukraine Bonds Collapse Russia is Firmer despite downgrade Top 20 GEM Sovereign Bonds Yields Climbs Change USD Eurobonds (Losers) Top 20 GEM Sovereign Bonds Yields Drops Week Change USD Eurobonds (Winners) Top 10 GEM Corporate Bonds Yields
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2015-02-24
MidLincoln GEMs Model Portfolio Update
Since last rebalancing on 2015-02-16 Countries where we have done well in relative terms include South Africa, Korea, Turkey, While countries where we have done poorly in relative terms include Brazil, China, India, Russia, Countries where we
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2015-02-24
Midlincoln Research CIS Economics and Politics Update
Georgia Georgia's President joins European leaders in Kiev 'March of Dignity'/.../ForMin Bogdan Aurescu meets Georgia's Prime Minister and President/.../Georgia Government May Halve Economic Growth Forecast/..../Job growth, gas prices to improv

2015-02-23
Free Preview: MidLincoln Research Fund Flow Weekly
Emerging markets fund flow showed 36.9 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflows. BRAZIL Equity funds showed 3.0 USD mn of inflow. BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed -1.2 USD mn of outflow. CHINA Equity funds sh

2015-02-23
Free Preview: MidLincoln Weekly Econ/Politics Feb 23
Russia Ukraine PM says cease fire non-existent, Putin on a larger mission/.../Russia's 2014 Economic-Growth Rate Declines to Lowest Since 2009/.../Western Firms Slash Russia Investment Over Ruble Fall/.../"Breakfast Cereals in Russia (2014) - Ma

2015-02-23
Notes from Midwest Moody’s Russia downgrade totally priced in?
Moody’s Russia downgrade totally priced in? We maintain our positive view on Russia despite Moody’s decision to downgrade Russia rating to Ba1. We however do not like Russian debt as much as we like Russia stocks that trade on earnings yield of

2015-02-23
Free Preview: MidLincoln Bigdata Industry/Sectors Overview
Communications Page .. WPP's tenthavenue Appoints Sudipto Roy as CEO, Emerging Markets Digital Content and the Social Flywheel/---/Emerging Markets Media Content Brazil Telecom Oi Sinking Along With Real Australian telcos may face mass SIM ca

2015-02-20
Free Preview: MidLincoln Commodities Weekly
OIL Opec has ceded to the US its power over oil price The oil price Oil price falls amid worries about global oversupply Wall Street slides on crude oil price dip Supertankers Speeding Up as Oil-Price Rout Seen Adding Cargoes The oil price war

2015-02-19
MidLincoln Emerging Markets BigDatamine
Some Useful Data Queries Oi Sa - an underperformer, GS Holdings - good EPS upgrade momentum, BB Seguridade Participacoes SA - good dividend upgrade momentum,Celltrion - volume is rising on the back of healthy stock price gains, Ruentex highest D

2015-02-18
MidLincoln GEMs Fixed Income Queries and Stance Weekly
Ukraine, Venezuella and Ecuador risk declines, Turkey risk rises Top 20 GEM Sovereign Bonds Yields Climbs Change USD Eurobonds (Losers) BRAZIL (FEDERATIVE REPUBLIC OF) 40, TURKEY (REPUBLIC OF) 24, CAIXA ECONOMICA FEDERAL MTN RegS 18, TURKEY REP
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2015-02-18
Free preview: Midlincoln Research Frontier Economics and Politics Update
Lebanon Aoun turns 80, and still determined to run for president/.../Rafik Hariri: Lebanon mourns former prime minister a decade after .../.../Stronger dollar, lower oil prices to boost economy/.../Automotive sector in Egypt has a h

2015-02-17
Free Preview: MidLincoln Emerging Markets Charts Feb 17
Perhaps Lukashenko wants to get Putin's chair. The inflationary case for a weaker yuan Lower Oil Causes Little U.S. Credit Disruption Coal prices are testing the resistance of the downward trend of the last 4 years. US crude oil inventori

2015-02-17
ML Equity Model Portfolio Rebalancing
In this rebalancing all countries were affected exept China short positions. Since last rebalancing on Jan 15 Countries where we have done well in relative terms include Brazil, China, Turkey, Russia While countries where we have done poorly in
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2015-02-17
Free Preview: Midlincoln Research CIS Economics and Politics Update Weekly
Georgia Georgia President Advises Ukrainians How to .../.../ForMin Bogdan Aurescu meets Georgia's Prime Minister and President/.../UPDATE 1-Georgia may cut 2015 economic growth forecast/..../Association Agreement: investment by today's Ge

Videos and Promos

Ideas - Heard This on "O" Street

For 2015-03-04 KOZAL:TIKoza - a leveraged bet on gold
or view this idea in Turkish
Report Ideas


Ideas From Results
2015-03-04 Suzano Papel e Celulose SA
BZ

Countries of Focus BRICS+, FSU, Frontier

BRICS+=CRABSTICKS

Russia

Recent Charts

Sanctions bare investors from quality credit



It looks like the oil price is weaker rather than stronger



Korea Exchange IPO Korea Investment & Securities, KDB Daewoo to Become Main Beneficiaries of KRX IPO



Did Buyuksarac Insult Erdogan?



China’s president Xi Jinping unveils ‘Four Comprehensives’



Will New House of Cards Soften US Russia Relations?



This deflation is nothing to worry about. For a net importer like the US, lower gasoline prices are a good thing



Continued catch the falling knife trading



India Can Not Go UP Forever - time to sell Indian stocks?



Wage Price Index showed that the rate of wages growth in Australia has slowed to a record low of 2.5%. That’s bad news for workers used to higher increases over the past two decades.



Turkish foreign minister demands extradition of theologian Gulen



India’s economy is now growing faster than China's



China largest steel maker wants to invest into capacity oversees



India and China free float are set to increase



Lower Oil Causes Little U.S. Credit Disruption: Chart of the Day



US crude oil inventories are at their highest level in at least 80 years



Coal prices are testing the resistance of the downward trend of the last 4 years.



The inflationary case for a weaker yuan



Perhaps Lukashenko wants to get Putin's chair.



When Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov was delivering his speech at the International Security Conference in Munich. Several Western officials interrupted Lavrov's speech with shouts and derisive laughter.



At Munich conference Afganistan president Ashraf Ghani Thanks NATO for its involvment into Afganistan.



The yuan tends to weaken as the extra yield investors earn on China’s two-year bonds over U.S. notes begins to drop. The currency fell 0.76 percent against the dollar in January, the most for the month in China Foreign Exchange Trading System records since 2007. The yield gap will narrow to 170 basis points by the end of this year, from 256 on Thursday



Low bond yields allow dividend yield as a style to outperform



Apple posted an all-time record for both revenue and sales for iPhone with shipments at 74.5Mn during the Q4 2014, a Y-o-Y increase of 46.1%. As a result it has become the No. 1 smartphone vendor and No. 2 Handset vendor first time ever in a single quarter. Watch Samsung recover in Q1 2015



Commodity Producers Start Finally Showing Value



US oil production is still surging. The boom in US shale oil production is one single factors that's been most responsible for the collapse of oil prices since mid-2014. And via Mark Perry at the American Enterprise Institute, oil production in January was at the highest monthly level since October 1973 – 41 years ago. This surge comes even as data from Baker Hughes shows that rig counts continue to decline. Perry tweeted this updated chart of US oil production based on data from the Energy Information Administration.



LNG price for northeast Asia fell 64 percent over the past year to 5 percent less than day-ahead gas on the U.K.’s National Balancing Point



The American economy added 257,000 new jobs in January, 90,000 of which were needed to keep up with population growth. This means that net job growth clocked in at 167,000 jobs.



Depreciating Commodities Currencies Provide Little Support for Iron Ore Prices



More Mainland China Inflows

Partners and Ads

Lincoln is the Capital of

Nebraska

Did you know?

1.In Nebraska they eat cinnamon rolls with chilli!

Don’t bother serving chili unless it includes a side of cinnamon rolls. There’s nothing like a bite of savory spiciness followed by a nibble of homey sweetness.

Nebraskans who have grown up with this amazing combo are always floored when people from elsewhere have never heard of it. Don’t knock it either–once you try it you’ll wonder how you didn’t think of it before.

2. Aksarben Isn’t A Nonsense Word

For those not from the place where The Good Life abounds, Aksarben is Nebraska spelled backwards.

Once a gloried race track in Omaha, it’s used in everything from names of businesses to shopping centers to a rodeo and stock show. It’s most prevalent in Omaha, but you’ll still see it other places in the state.

Yeah, it may seem a little silly, but it’s better than Amohalko or Aigroeg, right?

3. Dorothy Lynch Is More Than Just Dressing

You’ll know this native condiment of Nebraska by its bright orange hue and big flecks of black pepper throughout. Manufactured in Duncan (population 351), this thick, sweet dressing is a little bit spicy and boasts a homemade taste.

It’s used in home-cooked recipes galore, from marinades to side dishes. Ex-Nebraskans are known to have it shipped to the coasts to satisfy that craving for a taste of home.

4. Nebraskans Don’t Measure In Miles, They Measure In Time

Nebraska features a large expanse of interstate and highway roads, but locals don’t measure in miles.

If you ask a Nebraskan how far it is from Lincoln to Grand Island, you probably won’t get the answer “100 miles.” You’re way more likely to hear, “Oh, about an hour and a half.”

With long stretches of road ahead and few cities to slow you down, time is the best way to measure a trip.

5. O’Neill Is The ONLY Place To Celebrate St. Patrick’s Day

This “Irish Capital of Nebraska” is the only place to go for St. Patrick’s Day. Located in the proverbial middle-of-nowhere in the northern part of the state, O’Neill goes all out for the holiday.

The town explodes with Irish dancers, food and, of course, drinking. Locals paint a shamrock on Main Street and head down to paint the famous “Green Horse from O’Neill” for the parade the Friday before.

If you stop by the Good Timin’ bar you’ll be treated to a gallon milk jug full of green keg beer for around $4. It’s a down-home party only Nebraskans could throw.

6. Every Small Town Has A Rival

If you live in Central City, you hate Aurora and you can’t wait to beat the pants off them come football season. The same goes for Cozad and Gothenburg.

Even though the only difference outsiders notice is that one town probably has a drive-in called Dairy Cream while the other has one called Dairy King, the natives will quickly expound on the differences in each community and why theirs is superior.

7. Husker Game Day Is A Hallowed Event

Pretty much everything in Nebraska comes to a halt on Saturdays during football season. Memorial Stadium becomes the third largest city in Nebraska, and every television is set to the same channel.

Weddings, festivals and birthday parties are planned with Cornhusker games in mind. Don’t try to have a garage sale or any other kind of event on game day–it’s just not happening.

8. Nebraskans Have Perfected The Art Of The Road Trip

Nebraska may be known as flyover country, but get out on the open road and there’s plenty to find–from the picturesque and beautiful sandhills up North to the banks of the Platte River.

The locals know which small towns boast the best cafes, where to find the perfect antique market and which small-town festivals shouldn’t be missed. With plenty of highways and backroads, you never know what you’ll run into on the plains of Nebraska.

9. Arbor Lodge State Historical Park Is More Beautiful Than Any Other Place On Earth

Home of Arbor Day, Arbor Lodge is a popular destination for weddings and weekend getaways. One look and you can see why. The beautiful trees, breathtaking rose garden and stately Lodge are certain to rival any other destination in terms of aesthetic appeal.

Located near Nebraska City, autumn is definitely the best time to visit. Fall colors, leaves and apples abound, making it the place Nebraskans flock to for a charming local getaway.

10. It May Be 70 Degrees Today, But It’s Snowing Tomorrow

You’ve heard the old adage ”If you don’t like the weather wait five minutes,” but in Nebraska it holds true.

It’s not out of the ordinary to go from wearing a parka to shorts in the same day. There are legitimately consecutive days with temperature differences of 70 degrees. Nebraskans are so used to it they plan outdoor events in advance anyway–now that’s hardcore.