MidLincoln, a leading provider of investment research and services for "Buy" side focusing on all key assets classes. MidLincoln Research or ML for short was launched in 2013 as an investment research service focusing on Developed, Emerging and Frontier markets and on key asset classes. ML flagship publication is ML Strategy, which is part of ML Premium package. Premium service is competitively priced and also includes publications covering Fixed Income, Equities, Commodities, Bonds, Politics and Economics as well as Indexes and Funds. ML runs proprietary z-Ranking quant model. It also offers clients tracking ML Indexes and provides custom index solutions and research. It offers custom funds research and industry/sector consulting. ML has unique solutions for clients seeking IPOs or DCM deals. ML heavily relies on artificial intelligence and big data in publications. MidLincoln Research is yet unregulated. In Russia MidLincoln operates via OOO MidLincoln INN 7733891248 KPP 503201001 Address - Moscow Region 143032 Odintsovo District, Vlg Goryshkino, GP-1, H-43->Read More
Developed Markets, Emerging Markets, Frontier
2019-02-13 Don’t Hope The Rally will Last Economic Nationalism Trades Economic Nationalism Trades Globalisation Re-farming Policy mistakes are expensive Money is the message Dr. Copper Sais Emerging Markets Rally Is could be just too fragile Even worst equity markets class (Frontier Markets) delivered 5% return in January Dynamics in Bond Markets is quite supportive of risk appetite improvement argument Specialist sector funds see outflowsCommodities best and worst ... Only preview. This report requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.
2019-02-05 Overall operating results should provide optimism for investors as OVK operating performance improving. There remains skepticism about OVK leverage, but in our view a deeper dig into OVK business model explains high Debt/EBTDA multiples. We maintain our view that current levels should be attractive for increasing position in OVK. ... Only preview. This report requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.
2019-02-01 Index Atlas Ideas for 2019 Liquidity of a short term end of the European and Japan Bond Curve Should be Bad as at least 234 bonds in 12 EU countries and Japan trade with negative yield..Domestic investors in these countries are likely to chase short term bonds else where? US Treasury Yields – a lot lower Yields in the UK are A Bit Tighter France Bonds have been negatively affected by Yellow Jackets Emerging Market Bonds Should Be Better With Negative Yields in a lot of places.. Emerging Markets Bonds – Mostly Seen Yield Contraction with only a Few Exceptions Lebanon bonds – move into high yield category Nostrum Oil Eurobond Negatively Affects Kazakhstan average Few Bonds Were Significantly Weaker in the last month of 2018 Besides mentioned Nostrum Shell Drilling Inc with EBTIDA of 205 mln$ for 2017 and total debt of 840$mln Yielding 10.7% Oman’s Bank Muscat with 6.06% Yield Oman’s Lamar Funding with 7.2% Yield Argentina RIO ENERGY SA with 12.13 Zambian First Quantum Minerals with 10% China’s CITIC bank with 3.8% yield Etc.. Venezuelan Eurobonds – Hot Topic Italian Bonds – another popular topic Local Sovereign Yields are a lot better – and with stable DXY – we might see few carry trades opportunities Ukraine – in pre-election, Is there a buying opportunity? ... Only preview. This report requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.
2019-01-29 RTS index is free float weighted, capped index containing stocks trading on Moscow exchange with stock selections criteria based on the liquidity of free float, size of the market cap and size of free float. Candidate inclusion/exclusion stocks are added to the respective index waiting lists a quarter ahead of the rebalancing minimizing rebalancing costs. Moscow Exchange RTS Index board is the body making the rebalancing decisions. ... Only preview. This report requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.
2019-01-22 Long Palladium and Platinum Short DAX Long iBovespa Long Singapore SIBOR rate Positive on Long BRICs Positive on 12m Libor rate in USD Long Natural Gas in the US Short Nikkei Index Short Greece and Turkey Short Brent ... Only preview. This report requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.
2019-01-18 After stellar 2017 when new money generation was extreamly robust and net inflows into various public investment vehicles stood at 287$bn while MSCI World index was up 20.1% (data ex HF and FO) 2018 was a year when most of the things reversed direction vs. 2017 MSCI ACWI was down 11.17% MSCI US was down 6.3% AC Europe was down 17.2% Emerging Markets down -16.5% Frontier markets were down 19% Total outflow from various public investment vehicles was 21bn$ in 2018 Average outflow was 19.9bn$ ... Only preview. This report requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.
2019-01-13 Oil price volatility spooked markets. Few months ago, when Brent price was storming through 80$/bbl few were strongly opposing the upward momentum, agreeing with rising prices. But just before the year end – the oil price collapsed and most of the commentators have found a reason or two to predict lower levels for oil price ahead. 30$ drop in the oil price has caused some downward revisions of forecasts. According to Reuters: analysts have slashed forecast for 2019 to 67$/bbl from 70$/bbl for WTI. Brent forecast was downgraded to 74$/bbl 76$/bbl. Most frequently cited negative factors for downgrade of forecast are return of the unconventional (shale and ethanol) oil in the US as well as recovering production in Libya and Nigeria as well as the end of the driving season. While supporting factors for the oil price is OPEC cut and stricter compliance with OPEC production quotas as well as economic growth in the US. ... Only preview. This report requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.
2018-12-20 To our village folks nationalism and patriotism is like gravity force while globalization is like cosmism. ... Only preview. This report requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.
2018-12-12 Markets are very conservative if Utilities sector is the winner and Financials are laggards ... Only preview. This report requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.
2018-12-07 Most of the conventional Index Destinations were Money losers in 2018 ... Only preview. This report requires privileged access rights to read it at the current time.
Flight of foreign Capital
As a result of the decline in the share of foreign investors, their influence on the Russian market has also decreased, as well as the dependence of the market on external factors, ”Ovanes Oganisian notes. [+]
International Investors Gave Up Control
Over the three years of the sanctions, the share of foreign investors in free-float has decreased to 57% ($ 108.3 billion), MidLincoln analyst Ovanes Oganisian estimated in June 2017. ... As a result of the increased flight of international investors, their share in the free-float of Russian companies in the first half of 2018 fell below the control. According to Mr. Oganisian, at the end of the reporting period free-floating shares were worth $ 215 billion, of which only 45% belonged to foreign investors. [+]
Outflows from Russian market gather speed Oganisian sais.
Fund outflow total 238mln$ from Russian funds in the week of May 18-May 25 [+]
Implications of Sanctions on Russian Stocks
Rusal, Surgut and Poluyus likely affected Oganisian says [+]
Midlincoln Hosts Junior Gold Mining Conference Europe and Asia
Precious metals sector leaders hosted in Moscow to discuss lucrative sector opportunities [+]
Structure of Russia Freefloat
Oil and gas - 49%, Financials 24% .. according to Midlincoln [+]
Rob is penetrating wrestling craft
Rob was wondering if wrestling falls into health-care sector or consumer entertainment [+]
Rob is penetrating consumer discretionary sector
In his consumer discretionary exercise Rob decided to maintain country focused approach.. Producing a line of souvenirs for each country [+]
Rob is penetrating consumer discretionary sector
Rob has been watching booming markets during the last few years… and thought that it is time for consumers to start spending profits which they made [+]
4 Wheel drive and thoughts about business
Rob watched Fed’s move and emerging market stocks tank last week. He was still not confident in emerging markets and he added more to his shorts. Mea[+]